The Maui County Hazard Mitigation Plan Prepared By: Pamela Pogue Rhode Island Emergency Management Agency And Robert J. Collum Jr. Maui County Civil Defense Agency TABLE OF CONTENTS I. INTRODUCTION Cost of Disasters Hazard Mitigation Defined Benefits of Multi-natural Hazard Mitigation Sustainable Communities GOAL 11: Cultural Awareness II. PLANNING PROCESS III. MISSION & GOALS OF THE MAUI HAZARD MITIGATION STRATEGY Mission Goals Methodology Maui County Geography and Demographics Response Agencies Maui “Project Impact” IV. HAZARDS IDENTIFICATION AND ANALYSIS Hydrologic Hazards Floods Coastal Storms Stream Flooding Coastal Flooding Dam Breaks Landslides/Debris Flows Coastal Erosion Natural Course of a Beach Lifecycle Coastal Erosion vs. Beach Erosion Effect of Local Wind and Surf Patterns Sediment Deficiencies Past and Recurring Damage Wind Hazards Wind Pressure Wind Speed Wind Patterns Hurricanes Kona Storms Seismic Hazards Earthquakes Tsunamis Drought Wildfire V. HAZARD RISK AND VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Risk and Vulnerability Assessment Defined Social Vulnerability Environmental Risk and Vulnerability Critical Facilities Risk and Vulnerabilities Specific Flood Risks and Vulnerabilities Specific Coastal Erosion Risk and Vulnerabilities Specific Wind Hazard Risk and Vulnerabilities Specific Seismic Hazard Risk and Vulnerabilities Specific Drought Risk and Vulnerabilities VI. MITIGATION ACTIONS AND PROJECTS STAPLEE Mitigation Action for Flooding p. Mitigation Actions for Coastal Erosion Mitigation Actions for Wind Events Mitigation Action for Seismic Events Projects VII. IMPLEMENTATION VIII. PLAN MAINTENANCE LIST OF ACRONYMS GLOSSARY REFERENCES APPENDICES Project Impact – County of Maui Maui County Council Resolution County of Maui Proclamation by Mayor Alan Arakawa FEMA Letter of Acceptance Chapter I Introduction “The most recent disaster fades from memory just before the next one strikes...” Ancient Japanese Proverb The Cost of Disasters Property damage resulting from natural hazards has become exceedingly costly, for both the disaster victims, and the American taxpayer. From 1989 to 1993, the average annual loss from natural disasters was $3.3 billion nationally, the past 4 years has seen that amount increase to 13 billion annually. (FEMA, IS393, April 1998) Over 6,000 people have been killed and 50,000 injured from natural disasters in the past 25 years. (FEMA, 1998) The second most active hurricane season in the Pacific on record in the United States occurred in 1995. There were a total of 19 named storms, 11 reaching hurricane strength. The end result was 58 people dead and more than $5.2 billion in property losses. Aside from the direct costs, or those damages and losses directly attributable to the disaster, Americans also suffer from indirect costs, most of which may take much longer to recover from. Direct costs are short term and may include such costs as tree removal, setting up an emergency shelter, debris removal and the cost of repairs to public, private and commercial sectors. Indirect costs are those incurred sometime after the event, perhaps six months or more. These long-term costs include the permanent loss of employment, loss of tax revenues from business relocation health expenses incurred from a permanent injury or counseling to deal with the loss of a loved one. Recovery from disasters requires resources to be diverted from other public and private programs, adversely affecting the productivity of the economy. Business interruption insurance only covers a small part of actual losses. Loss of economic productivity and downtime in tourism not really accounted by the public or private sector. Costs of Disasters in Hawaiian Islands 1959 - present Date Disaster Location Amount of Damage* 9/10-11/92 Hurricane Iniki Kauai, Hawaiian Islands $ 1.6 billion 11/23/83 Hurricane Iwa Kauai, Oahu $239 million 1/8-10/80 Kona Storm Maui $ 12.9 million 5/23/60 tsunami Hilo, Hawaii $ 23 million 8/4-6/59 Hurricane Dot Kauai, Hawaii, Oahu $ 6 million (Kauai) 4/1946 tsunami Hilo, Hawaii $ 2.6 million *Dollars given in the year damage occurred What is Hazard Mitigation? Hazard mitigation is action taken to permanently reduce or eliminate long-term risk to people and their property from the effects of natural hazards. As the direct and indirect costs of disasters continue to rise, it becomes particularly critical that preparing for the onslaught of damage from these events must be done in order to reduce the amount of damage and destruction. This strategy is commonly known as mitigation. The purpose of multi-hazard mitigation is twofold: 1) to protect people and structures from harm and destruction; and 2) to minimize the costs of disaster response and recovery. Hazard mitigation planning is the process that analyzes a community’s risk from natural hazards, coordinates available resources, and implements actions to reduce risks. (Tennessee Emergency Management Agency). To ensure the national focus on mitigation, the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) introduced a National Mitigation Strategy in 1995. The National Strategy promotes the partnership of government and the private sector to “build” safer communities. Hazard mitigation encourages all Americans to identify hazards that may affect them or their communities to take action to reduce risks. Mitigation Benefits Mitigation actions help safeguard personal and public safety. Retrofitting bridges, for example, can help keep them from being washed out, which means they will be available to fire trucks and ambulances in the event of a storm. Installing hurricane clips and fasteners can reduce personal and real property losses for individuals and reduce the need for public assistance in the event of a hurricane. Increasing coastal setbacks reduces the risk of deaths and property losses from tsunamis and storm surge. Increased setbacks also reduce the risk of property losses from coastal erosion. Another important benefit of hazard mitigation is that money spent today on preventative measures can significantly reduce the impact of disasters in the future, including the cost of post-disaster cleanup. Formal adoption and implementation of this strategy will help Maui gain credit points under the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s (FEMA) National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) Community Rating System (CRS). CRS provides discounts on flood insurance premiums for property owners in communities that participate in this voluntary program. For example, points are given to municipalities that form a Local Hazard Mitigation Committee (LHMC). Communities also receive points if they involve the public in the planning process, coordinate with other agencies, assess the hazard and their vulnerability, set goals, draft an action plan (local hazard mitigation strategy), and adopt, implement and revise the plan. There are many categories to gain credit for public education and awareness activities regarding floodplain management and mitigation. Non-federally owned open space land in floodplains can also help a municipality gain credit points under the CRS program. In addition, vegetated open-space land enhances the natural and beneficial functions that floodplains serve and helps prevent flood damage. The adoption of this mitigation strategy will enhance Maui’s eligibility for federal grants, which include FEMA’s pre-disaster Flood Mitigation Assistance Program (FMAP) and its post-disaster Hazard Mitigation Grant Program (HMGP). Pre-disaster planning will also help post-disaster operations become more efficient. For instance, procedures and necessary permits can be identified prior to the disaster and therefore, permit-streamlining procedures can be put into place. Priorities for mitigation during reconstruction can also be identified, helping to reduce the high costs of recovery after a disaster. The state emergency response effort will run more smoothly because of the guidance provided in this strategy. Perhaps the most important benefit from a county hazard mitigation strategy is that it will minimize the social and economic disruption from multiple hazards. One need only look at the impact that Hurricane Iniki had on the people of Kauai. Unemployment six months after the storm was running at over 16 percent. (Pers. Comm. Mike Hamnett, October 9, 2000) Six years after the storm, several hotels had not reopened and until the recent upturn in tourism, Kauai’s economy was lagging significantly behind the rest of the State. (Pers. Comm. Hamnett, October 9, 2000) Maui County Emergency Managers Sustainable Communities A resilient community is one that lives in harmony with nature’s varying cycles and processes. David Godschalk, Timothy Beatley, et al “Disaster resilient” communities employ a long range, community-based approach to mitigation. Mitigation advocates communities to proactively address potential damage that could occur from hurricanes, coastal erosion, earthquakes, flooding and other natural hazards. When natural hazard mitigation is combined with the standards of creating sustainable communities, the long-term beneficial result is smarter and safer development that reduces the vulnerability of populations to natural disasters while reducing poverty, providing jobs and promoting economic activity, and most importantly, improving people’s living conditions (Munasinghe and Clarke 1995). In addition to community sustainability’s criteria of social, environmental and economic protection, there is also the criterion that development must be disaster resistant (Institute for Business and Home Safety 1997). Resilient communities may bend before the impact of natural disaster events, but they do not break. They are constructed so that their lifeline systems of roads, utilities, infrastructure, and other support facilities are designed to continue operating in the midst of high winds, rising water and shaking ground. Hospitals, schools, neighborhoods, businesses and public safety centers are located in safe areas, rather than areas prone to high hazard. Resilient and sustainable communities’ structures are built or retrofitted to meet the safest building code standards available. It also means that their natural environmental habitats such as wetlands and dunes are conserved to protect the natural benefits of hazard mitigation that they provide. The Maui County Hazard Mitigation Strategy advocates the concepts of disaster resilient and sustainable communities. Maui is committed to building a disaster resistant community and achieving sustainable development through the commitment of County government and its policymakers to mitigate hazard impacts before disaster strikes. Additionally, Maui will achieve a disaster resilient, and therefore, safer community, through the process of completing its Hazard Risk and Vulnerability Assessment (RVA), and Multi-Hazard Mitigation Strategy (HMS) and through the implementation of mitigation programs and policies. The County will have the capability to implement and institutionalize hazard mitigation through its human, legal and fiscal resources, the effectiveness of intergovernmental coordination and Hawaii Coastal Zone Management Booth at the Project Impact Fair in Hana communication, and with the knowledge and tools at hand to analyze and cope with hazard risks and the outcomes of mitigation planning. Goal 11: Cultural Awareness Established in 1993, the President’s Council on Sustainable Development set forth new goals for sustainable development. These ten goals – Health and the Environment; Economic Prosperity; Equity; Conservation of Nature; Stewardship; Sustainable Communities; Civic Engagement; Population; International Responsibility; and Education – are interdependent and essential towards realizing economic prosperity, environmental protection, and social equity. However, the Council overlooked Goal 11 . . . . . Cultural Awareness. It is essential to consider culture regardless, particularly when “sustainability” in the context of the economy, environment, population, or even the resiliency of communities towards natural disasters. Culture is a key thread that binds the very fabric of these and other goals together. Across the nation and throughout the world, lessons are being learned from aboriginal peoples with respect to land use, watershed management, marine and terrestrial conservation, and sustainability based on the respect and balance between man and nature. Today, the term “cultural profiling” has become a new buzzword in the planning and decision-making process. No longer will federal, state, and county governments be discussing projects and programs in a culturally sterile vacuum. In ancient as well as contemporary Hawaii, Hawaiian people shared a unique relationship with their environment. It is a symbiotic relationship based on a physical and spiritual bond that developed enduring socio-cultural values, beliefs, and practices. On a spiritual level, it was believed by the ancient Hawaiians that both man and the earth were born from the same spirit world. As such, a physical respect for the environment was shown by the way Hawaiians approached the use of animate (i.e., plants, birds, fish) as well as inanimate (i.e., stones, water, rain) resources. Permission and guidance was always sought from the gods, ancestors, and a people’s council (Aha Ki’ole) consisting of skilled practitioners knowledgeable in medicine, agriculture, weather, astronomy, as well as many other specialties. Through these physical and spiritual “checks and balances”, “pono” or “to make things right” could be maintained between man and his environment. Examples of these “checks and balances” can be experienced through ancient Hawaiian beliefs that have been passed down through “oli” (chant) or “mo’olelo” (stories). For instance, Hawaiian people have a saying – “He kiu ka pua kukui na ka makani” – used to describe the falling of kukui blossoms as a sign of the coming of strong winds. This proverb demonstrates the observant nature of the ancient Hawaiians with respect to their environment. The Kukui blossom was a sturdy flower that required tremendous effort to dislodge. As such, during winter months the falling of Kukui blossoms was nature’s sign of an approaching storm or hurricane. The Hawaiians, being practical people, would insure that their homes had secured lashings, personal belongings were stowed, and that other necessary precautions were taken. The Hawaiians also studied the behavior of animals such as the wild boar. “Kakaika pua pua’a i ka malie he ino” meant that a storm was approaching if you observed a herd of wild boar running in a single file. Again, it is this idea of being a part of nature, rather than conquering it. Ancient sustainable practices such as (1) stream clearance to prevent flooding and to insure the consistent flow of water and nutrients to agricultural fields and ocean fishponds; (2) reforestation to protect watersheds and natural systems; and (3) beneficial land use practices through the implementation of ahupua’a (land divisions) governed by people’s councils insured the pono or balance between man and nature. These practices were done not because you had to do them, but because it was the right thing to do with respect to benefiting the community rather than one’s self. Other rational practices that maintained this natural balance consisted of the construction of temporary coastal villages that would be used for fishing during the summer months and later abandoned as winter’s inclement weather approached the islands. Even the ancient Hawaiians knew when to practice coastal retreat. Permanent settlements were constructed out of the natural flood plain areas and individual homes were elevated on stone platforms and built into the forested areas in order to mitigate the energy of storms and hurricanes. So what can we learn from all of this? The answer is . . . . . “As much as we can.” There are definite lessons that can be learned from our cultural past. However, physical lessons alone are not enough to build sustainable communities. A restructuring of public values and attitudes need to be perpetuated in order to accomplish sustainable goals and to build hazard resilient communities that rely not only on hard, structural solutions, but natural, ecological protective measures that are based on traditional knowledge and scientific study. Chapter II Planning Process Process The development of the Maui Hazard Mitigation Strategy began during the Maui Project Impact grant period. The Maui County Project Impact Coordinator invited directors and staff from public agencies, private businesses and organizations, and community representatives to participate in the various committees with several of these participants serving as members of the Steering Committee, Education & Awareness Committee, Business & Industry Committee, Technical Standard Committee, Hana/East Maui Committee, and Lahaina/West Maui Committee. Pacific Disaster Center provided technical support to all committees. Project Impact Community Partners are noted at the end of this chapter. Additional information on Maui Project Impact activities related to the planning processes is located in Appendix A. The goal of developing a hazard mitigation strategy for Maui County has remained constant. This chapter describes the planning process. Planning Approach and Methods Maui County also participates actively in the State Hazard Mitigation Forum, helping to guide hazard mitigation planning and activities in the State while receiving guidance from the Mitigation Planning Committee, The Multi-hazard Scientific Advisory Committee and other committees. The methods used in the hazard mitigation planning process have been drawn from several sources. These include the process delineated in the NOAA Coastal Services Center Community Vulnerability Assessment Tool: http://www.csc.noaa.gov/products/nchaz/ startup.htm. The Federal Emergency Management Agency’s guidance series, getting started, Understanding Your Risks – Identifying Hazards and Estimating Losses and developing the Mitigation Plan (FEMA 386-1, 2, 3) were referenced during the planning process. Elements of this process were developed over several years of hazard mitigation preparedness and planning in the State of Hawaii. Maui County participated in the 1996 Coastal Hazard Mitigation Workshop, supported jointly by NOAA’s Office of Ocean and Coastal Resources Management and FEMA Region IX. This workshop allowed counties and jurisdictions to share ideas about hazard mitigation. Following this, the Statewide Hazard Mitigation Forum was established in 1998. Maui County has had representation from the Maui County Planning Department as a full member and the Civil Defense Agency as an ex-officio member. The Maui County mitigation strategy is multi-hazard in scope. It addresses wind hazards (hurricanes and strong winds); hydrologic hazards (floods, coastal storms, stream flooding, dam brakes, landslides); coastal erosion (beach lifecycle and erosion); seismic hazards (earthquakes); tsunami, drought and wildfire. The planning approach for Maui County involved the following: • Briefed County Officials and invited participation from public and private agencies, organizations and groups. Discussed process and gained agreement on approach. • Gathered available county asset data; used interviews and meetings to collect data. Assessed data availability and condition of data. Gathered and reviewed available hazard studies and assessments for Maui County. • Used meetings to educate about hazard mitigation, risk and vulnerability and planning process. • Held public forums and meetings to get suggestions and ideas to address problems. Incorporated these into the strategy. • Met with the Disaster Mitigation Committee to review risk and vulnerability assessment and strategy development. Established criteria for prioritizing projects and programs. • Set up maintenance plan to update strategy with new input, data, and accomplishments. • Adopted the strategy formally. • Implement strategy. Begin projects. Review goals and objectives, revise appropriately, and continue iterative process as needed. Maui County fully intends to involve the general public for future iterations of its multihazard mitigation through public forums, the State Hazard Mitigation website (www.mothernature-hawaii.com), and the media. The Maui County Disaster Mitigation Committee will be the key agency organizing and conducting those activities relating to hazard mitigation planning. This body will be comprised of representatives from all levels of government and the private sector. The following is a timeline of the activities that led to the Maui County Multi-Hazard Mitigation Strategy: • March 1999 - Initial Project Impact Meeting • April 5-7, 2000 - Project Impact Hazard Mitigation Workshop at Pacific Disaster Center. • June 15, 2000 - County Council Economic Development Committee. Presentation by Will Orr, Prescott College, on “Growth Model with Hazard & Risk Vulnerability Assessment.” Presentation by Pam Pogue on “Integrating Hazard Mitigation on Maui County - Process and Planning.” • June 28, 2000 - Meeting with EOC personnel and Pam Pogue to discuss start of Plan. Representatives from the following departments of the County of Maui were invited to this meeting: Managing Director, Economic Development, Finance, Police, Fire, Public Works, Water Supply, Housing and Human Concerns, Parks and Recreation, Corporation Counsel, Planning. Representatives from the State of Hawaii: Civil Defense, Hawaii Air National Guard, District Health Services, Engineering, Highways, Airports, Harbors, Human Services, Civil Air Patrol, DMAT Hi-1, Department of Land and Natural Resources. The following organizations were also asked to send a representative: Maui Pacific Center, American Red Cross, NWS, Maui Economic Opportunity, RACES, Hawaiian Telephone Company, Maui VOAD, American Medical Response, Maui Electric, and Maui Memorial Medical Center. • July 11, 2000 - Diane Zachary of Project Impact, Pam Pogue, Mike Hamnett and Cheryl Anderson from the State Hazard Mitigation Forum and University of Hawaii attended the Maui Planning Commission to explain Project Impact and hazard mitigation. • August 7, 2000 - Public Meeting in Maui County Council Chambers on overview of hazard mitigation and processes occurring on Maui County by Pam Pogue. • August 23, 2000 - Pam Pogue conducted a public meeting in the Maui County Council Chambers to share findings of work in process, and the risk and vulnerability assessment and to solicit public input on mitigation actions and awareness. • September 15, 19, 24 and October 6, 2000 - Akaku TV, Maui Public Access Television, aired the August 23, 2000 public meeting by Pam Pogue. • October 6, 2000 – Council of the County of Maui adopted “Resolution No. 00-140 SUPPORTING THE ESTABLISHMENT OF THE COUNTY OF MAUI AS A DISASTER RESISTANT COMMUNITY THROUGH A COMPRHENSIVE MITIGATION PROGRAM AGAINST NATURAL HAZARDS.” (Appendix B.) • October 11, 2000 – Mayor of the County of Maui signs a Proclamation that supports develops and implements a County Multi-Hazard Mitigation Program. (Appendix C.) • October 11-13, 2000 - Maui Project Impact held a statewide hazard mitigation institute. • December 2000 - Maui Civil Defense Agency received the draft of the Maui County Multi-Hazard Mitigation Strategy from Pam Pogue. Project Impact Community Partners County of Maui Mayor’s Office Maui Fire Department Maui Police Department Planning Department Department of Public Works Department of Water Supply Maui Civil Defense Agency State of Hawaii Civil Defense Agency State of Hawaii Coastal Zone Management Program State of Hawaii Hazard Mitigation Forum Akaku – Maui Community Television, Inc. Alexander and Baldwin Properties, Inc. American Institute of Architects, Maui Chapter American Red Cross Blue Hawaiian Helicopters Central Pacific Bank Department of Education – Maui District Hale Makua Hana/East Maui Community Sustainable Committee Kamehameha Schools Lahaina Restoration Foundation Lahaina Action Committee Lowe’s Home Improvement Warehouse Maui Chamber of Commerce Maui Community College Maui Contractors Association Maui Economic Development Board Maui Electric Company, Ltd. Maui Hotel Association Maui Memorial Medical Center The Maui News Maui Pacific Center National Weather Service Pacific Disaster Center Pacific Radio Group University of Hawaii, Social Research Institute U.S. Small Business Association Voluntary Organizations Active in Disasters (VOAD) Walter Vorfeld & Associates Chapter III Mission and Goals of the Maui County Hazard Mitigation Strategy Mission The purpose of the Maui County Multi-Hazard Mitigation Strategy is to: 1. Provide a coordinated consistent set of goals for reducing or minimizing: human and property losses; major economic disruption; degradation of ecosystems and environmental critical habitats; destruction of cultural and historical resources from natural disasters; 2. Provide a basis for intergovernmental coordination in natural hazard mitigation programs at the state and county level; 3. Develop partnerships between the County and private sector, local communities and non-profit organizations in order to coordinate and collaborate natural hazard mitigation programs; 4. Identify and establish close coordination with county agencies responsible for implementing the sound practices of hazard mitigation through building standards and local land use development decisions and practices; and to 5. Provide for a continuing public education and awareness about the risks and losses from natural disasters, in addition to natural hazard mitigation programs, policies and projects. Goals The goals of the multi-hazard Maui Mitigation Strategy are to: 1. Protect public health, safety and welfare; 2. Reduce property damages caused by natural disasters; 3. Minimize social dislocation and distress; 4. Reduce economic losses and minimize disruption to local businesses; 5. Protect the ongoing operations of critical facilities; 6. Reduce the dependence and need for disaster assistance funding after natural disasters; 7. Expedite recovery disaster mitigation efforts during the recovery phase; 8. Promote non-structural flood and coastal erosion measures to reduce the risk of damage to the surrounding properties and environmental habitats; and to 9. Establish a Maui County Hazard Mitigation Committee to support, implement and revise the Maui multi-hazard mitigation strategy and to provide the support necessary for an ongoing forum for the education and awareness of multi-hazard mitigation issues, program, policies and projects. 10. Provide for adequate financial and staffing resources to implement the Maui Hazard Mitigation Strategy. Methodology The geographic scope of the plan includes the Islands of Maui, Moloka’i and Lana’i. The first step in completing a multi-hazard Mitigation Strategy is to undertake a risk and vulnerability assessment (RVA). The RVA is a systematic way to categorize the effects of hazards and provides a way to identify, compare, and prioritize risks. The RVA establishes a factual basis and foundation to identify issues, and develop goals and objectives for the mitigation plan. Also important, the data from the risk and vulnerability assessment will establish a baseline in which to measure progress. In order to begin to develop the risk and vulnerability assessment, the hazards had to be identified. For the purposes of this version of the Multi-Hazard Mitigation Strategy, the hazards were initially identified by a working group1, then were presented to the Maui County Emergency Managers, the Mayor and his Cabinet and finally presented in a public hearing on August 7th, 2000. (The public hearing was taped and rebroadcast on by Akaku). Once the hazards were selected, data was then collected from Federal, state and County agencies and the University of Hawaii. In order to profile each hazard, the data needed had to include information on how to determine the extent and magnitude of each hazard’s impact on the community. Data included damage reports, FEMA Flood 1 This working group included a representative from: Maui Civil Defense, Maui County GIS and Planning Departments, Hawaii Coastal Zone Management, University of Hawaii Social Sciences Research Institute, the Pacific Disaster Center and Maui Project Impact. Meeting with the Mayor’s Cabinet to discuss Hazard Mitigation Goals, June 2000 Insurance Rate Maps (FIRMS), impacts from past events, and best available information on each hazard. More information on how each hazard has been profiled and prioritized for this report is explained in subsequent sections of this Strategy. Additional information was also obtained from numerous interviews with officials from Federal, State and County agencies, academic institutions and public comment through two scheduled public hearings. After identifying the general areas at risk, data about population, property, economic and environmental resources at risk was gathered in order to determine how and where Maui County is vulnerable to the impact of various hazards. To more accurately understand the community’s vulnerability it was also important to gather information on the existing protection systems, both physical and regulatory currently in place within Maui County. Once the results from the risk and vulnerability assessment were known, a clearer picture of the areas at risk, and an understanding of how and where Maui County is vulnerable to the impacts of these hazards in terms of damage to public infrastructure, critical facilities, environmental, societal and economic components was depicted using Geographic Information System (GIS) maps. In some cases, the results were combined with the Maui County tax assessors’ information (TMK data) such as plat, lot and assessed structural values to give potential financial losses the community may face. Based on the results of the RVA, the government capacity and available resources, mitigation actions were identified in order to address the various hazards’ issues potentially affecting Maui County. These options will allow Maui County to choose ways in which to reduce the Counties vulnerability to natural hazard losses. In writing the strategy, community plans were read, in addition to existing policies and on-going programs. If Maui County focuses on strengthening existing plans, programs, policies and procedures, and incorporates mitigation as part of the on-going process of County management, it can avoid the duplication of efforts, thus saving time and money, and achieve multiple objectives. The mitigation actions resulting from the Multi-Hazard Mitigation Strategy should be incorporated into the Maui County Emergency Operations Plan, the community comprehensive plans, and other pertinent planning and implementation tools available such as local zoning, building and subdivision ordinances. Maui County Geography and Demographics Maui Geography and Climate The Island of Maui was formed by two volcanic cones, Haleakala in East Maui and the Puu Kukui on West Maui. A relatively flat isthmus, formed of sand blown inland when the sea was somewhat younger during the late Pleistocene period joins the two cones. East Maui is geologically younger than West Maui, as apparent by the absence of deeply incised canyons and extensive areas of volcanic lava and cinders on the leeward slopes of Haleakala. The lands more suitable for agriculture, including the gentle slopes of central Maui and tablelands of West Maui, resulted from alluvial deposits and the decomposition of basaltic materials. Rainfall varies considerable from one part of the Island to the other. The windward areas of Maui get heavier rainfall than the leeward side. In East Maui, the highest rainfall area is on the windward side of Haleakala between 2,000 and 4,000 foot elevations, where the median annual rainfall is 200 to 300 inches. On the western side of the island, median annual rainfall near the summit of Puu Kukui is approximately 350 inches. In contrast, leeward locations in central Maui such as Kihei have a mean annual rainfall of 10 inches. The Effects of the Island Topography on Climate The topography of Maui plays a key role in defining the climatic zones on the island. The volcanic slopes of Haleakala and Pu’u Kukui are very effective at forcing moist trade wind air upwards to facilitate the formation of clouds and showers. Hence, windward areas of Maui are very wet, averaging about 350 inches of rainfall per year over Pu’u Kukui, and about 280 inches per year over Haleakala. Conversely, subsiding air over the leeward slopes of the island suppresses cloud and shower development leaving these areas dry. Along the leeward coasts of both Haleakala and Pu’u Kukui, the annual average rainfall is only about 10 inches. The effects of Maui’s topography is clear when the windward rainfall values are compared to the 28 inch estimate of average annual rainfall over the open ocean near the Hawaiian Islands (Elliot and Reed 1984). Maui Rainfall map provided by NOAA National Weather Service Trade winds are also deflected around the volcanic masses and funneled through gaps and valleys, causing localized accelerations and leeward eddies. A notable example is a feature known as the “Maui vortex”, which is a persistent circulation that exists during trade wind conditions. The vortex usually occurs over the western slopes of Haleakala and can result in the re-circulating of pollutants from sugar cane burning in Maui’s Central Valley. In a recent case, strong open ocean trades of about 20 to 30 miles per hour were further enhanced through deeply cut valleys in Pu’u Kukui. Gusts from this event were estimated to be more than 70 miles per hour. Moloka’i Geography and Climate The island of Moloka’i was formed primarily by the joining of two separate shield volcanoes approximately 1.8 million to 1.3 million years ago. Mauna Loa is to the west and Kamakou is to the east with a plain in between. Lava from the younger East Moloka’i Volcano flowed across the lowland of the Ho’olehua Saddle and terminated against the flank and side scarps of the West Moloka’i Volcano. This is composed of eroded sediment of the East and West Moloka’i Volcanoes. Near the end of the active volcanism, the northern flank of the East Moloka’i Volcano slid into the ocean leaving behind the towering pali (cliffs) on the northeast coast of the island A third volcanic episode approximately 300,000 years ago was a comparatively small one. It formed a 2500 acre peninsula in the sea below the steep cliffs of the north side of Moloka’i Island proper. This is the Kalaupapa Peninsula, which is virtually isolated from the rest of the island by cliffs 1600 to 2000 feet high. Erosion, deposition, slumping and secondary volcanic events have modified the topography. The resulting shape of the island is elongated in the east-west direction, much in the shape of a peanut. It is 38 miles long and 10 miles wide. It has an area of 260 square miles and a shoreline of a little more than 100 miles. East Moloka’i has a range of mountains whose highest peak, Kamakou, is 4,970 feet high. Stream erosion has cut large amphitheater-headed valleys into its northern coast; smaller and narrower valleys are found on its southern side, with an alluvial plain down to the sea. In contrast, West Moloka’i has a sloping mountain, Maunaloa, which reaches an altitude of 1,380 feet. It has rolling arid land rather than valleys and is considerably drier than East Moloka’i. East Moloka’i supports the rain forest of Kamakou Preserve (2,774 acres) near the summit while West Moloka’i supports plantations, ranches and small farms. Pelekunu Preserve is located along Moloka’i’s extremely rugged north coast, featuring the tallest sea cliffs in the world. Bisecting the island, the broad Ho’olehua Saddle forms a low-lying coastal plain along the south shore. The southeastern edge of the island is bordered by an alluvial plain constructed from a series of semi-contiguous alluvia fans associated with upland gulches. Three of the broader areas, formed at the base of the three major gulches of Kaunakakai, Kawela, and Kamalo’o, have played important roles in early human settlement of the southeast coastline. The deep loose soils, the presence of streams and springs, the low, irregular shoreline, and the relative protection and resources of the broad reef platform provided and inviting physical environment for early human occupation in the southern coastal area. Moloka’i has a warm year around temperature that fluctuates little between the seasons. The average yearly temperature is 74 degrees F and ranges between 6 and 7 degrees above and below. During the winter months (December through March) the nighttime temperatures may drop to the lower 60’s with more rain and stronger water currents coming to the island. The eastern portion of the island receives notably more rain than the western portion, which lies in the rain shadow of the Kamakou highlands. The average annual rainfall at the Moloka’i airport, which is located in the middle of the island, is 20”. The annual mean precipitation is 20” in West Moloka’i and 35” in East Moloka’i. The rainfall is highest on the west and windward slope of East Moloka’i, decreasing rapidly toward the leeward coast. The kona storms are major storms that come from the south and often drop huge volumes of rain. They occur once or twice a year and may drop 8 to 10 inches of rain in a short time. These storms are island-wide and normally occur between October and April. The trade-wind rains are more local in character and occur through the year. They come in from the northeast and drop most of their moisture in the northerly windward highlands, seldom on the southern or lee side of the island. The greater part of the yearly rainfall in the highlands is from the trade-wind rainstorms. Population In April 2000, Maui County has a population of 128,094 people. This includes Maui, Moloka’i, and Lana’i. This is an increase in population of 42 percent over 1990 and an 81 percent increase since 1980 (Maui County Data Book 2000). Area 1980 1990 2000 Percentage Change Population Population Population 1980-1990 1990-2000 1980-2000 Maui Cty 70847 100374 128094 42% 28% 81% Hana 1423 1895 1855 33% 10% 30% Makawao 19005 29207 36476 54% 25% 92% Wailuku 32111 45685 61346 42% 34% 91% Lahaina 10284 14574 17967 42% 23% 75% Molokai 5905 6587 7257 12% 10% 23% Lanai 2119 2426 3193 14% 32% 51% Combined number of residents and visitors determines Maui’s infrastructure and service needs. The population of residents and visitors increased substantially between 1980 and 2000. The average daily visitor census for Maui County has remained fairly constant from 1990 to 2000. The low was 37,060 (1991) while the high was 43,992 (1999). Population projections developed by the Department of Economic Development and Tourism estimates the 2020 population to be as follows: resident population 151,200; average daily visitor population 76,000; the total population of 227,000. This would be an increase of about 57,000 or 34 percent (Maui County Data Book 2000). Land Use Maui County is the second largest of the four Hawaiian counties. It comprises a total of 1175 square miles of land. Maui has 728.6 square miles, Moloka’i has 260.9 square miles, Lana’i has 140.4 square miles, and Kaho’olawe has 45.0 square miles. The Island of Maui has 149 miles of shoreline, Moloka’i has 106 miles, Lana’i has 52 miles, and Kaho’olawe has 36 miles (Maui County Data Book, 2002). The State Land Use Commission has classified 25,516 acres in Maui County as urban, 310,396 as conservation, 406,792 as agricultural, and 8,196 as rural. The Federal government owns 4.6 percent of all land, the state and counties own 33.6 percent, and private ownership equals 61.8 percent (Maui County Data Book 2003). Response Agencies Maui County Civil Defense Agency is entrusted with the protection of life and property within the County of Maui during emergency or disaster situations. The agency operates under the authority of Chapters 127 and 128 of the Hawaii Revised Statutes, as amended, and Section 8-15.1 of the Maui County Charter. The agency is responsible for administering and operating the various Local, State and Federal Civil Defense Programs for the County. This includes planning, preparing, and coordinating civil defense operations in meeting disaster situations and coordinating post-disaster recovery operations involving State and/or Federal assistance. The Mayor of Maui County serves as a Deputy Director of Civil Defense, in addition to his normal duties. A small four person staff that includes the Civil Defense Administrator, Plans and Operations Specialist, a Civil Defense Staff Specialist, and a Civil Defense Technician manages the day to day operations of the agency. During disaster situations the Emergency Operating Center can be activated to include Emergency Mangers from various governmental and private organizations. The Maui County Civil Defense Agency also works at maintaining and upgrading the Civil Defense Siren Warning System, trains governmental and civilian volunteer emergency response force, and pursues a public awareness program on emergency preparedness. Provided by Maui County GIS MAUI COUNTY CIVIL DEFENSE AGENCY EMERGENCY MANAGERS • Mayor of the County of Maui • Managing Director of the County of Maui • Maui County Public Information Officer • Maui County Police Department • Maui County Fire Department • Maui County Department of Parks and Recreation • Maui County Department of Public Works and Waste Management • Maui County Department of Water Supply • Maui County Department of Housing and Human Concerns • Maui County Department of the Corporation Counsel • Maui County Planning Department • Maui County Department of Finance • State of Hawaii Department of Transportation/Harbors Division • Radio Amateur Civil Emergency Service • Amateur Radio Emergency Service • Disaster Medical Assistance Team HI-1 • Verizon Hawaii • Civil Air Patrol • Maui Visitors Bureau • American Medical Response • Voluntary Organizations Active In Disaster • State of Hawaii Department of Transportation/Highways Division • State of Hawaii Department of Transportation/Airports Division • State of Hawaii Department of Education • State of Hawaii Department of Land and Natural Resources • State of Hawaii Department of Human Services • State of Hawaii Department of Defense/Hawaii National Guard • National Weather Service • American Red Cross • Maui Economic Opportunity • Maui Electric Company, Ltd. • State of Hawaii Department of Health Maui County Project Impact In support of the Disaster Resilient and Sustainable Community concept, FEMA has developed an initiative called Project Impact. Project Impact encourages communities to move from the current reliance on response and recovery to an emphasis on mitigation, preparedness and disaster management. Under this initiative, communities are demonstrating the economic benefits of predisaster mitigation. Maui County initiated their two-year Project Impact community disaster mitigation program in May 1999. The Project Impact Program (1999-2001) is currently under the auspices of the County of Maui Office of Economic Development. FEMA provided the County with a two-year grant of $300,000. Maui’s Project Impact efforts is focusing on the following objectives: Meeting of the Maui Project Impact Technical Standards Subcommittee, August, 2000 Completing an island-wide survey to identify the current strengths and weaknesses of Maui’s disaster mitigation efforts and guide future efforts; Drafting and implementing isolated community preparedness plans for West Maui/Lahaina and East Maui/Hana regions to reduce the negative impact resulting from becoming isolated during and after disasters; and Implementing an islandwide public education and disaster mitigation awareness campaign to educate the public and encourage disaster mitigation behavior. To date, thirty-five businesses and organizations have become Maui Project Impact Partners, joining forces with other county and state agencies to reduce hazards on the Island of Maui. Development of the Multi-Hazard Mitigation Strategy will help Maui Project Impact meet its second objective and better integrate its efforts with the County in order to accomplish the successful implementation of this Strategy. Project Impact Booth at Hana Fair, July, 2000 IV-1 Chapter IV Hazard Identification and Analysis Hazards identification and analysis helps in making decisions about which hazards merit special attention; what actions might be taken to reduce the impact of those hazards and what resources are likely to be needed to successfully implement the hazard mitigation measures. Hydrologic, Wind, and Seismic Hazards Hazards Identification Identifying the hazards is the first step in any effort to reduce community vulnerability. Identifying the risk and vulnerability for a community is the primary factor in determining how to allocate finite resources to address what mitigation actions to take. The hazard analysis involves identifying all of the hazards that potentially threaten Maui County and then analyze them individually to determine the degree of threat that is posed by each natural hazard. By addressing risk and vulnerability through hazard mitigation, Maui County will only then reduce societal, economic and environmental exposure to natural hazards impacts. All hazards that may potentially occur in the community should be identified. This includes both natural and secondary hazards – situations when one hazard triggers others sequentially. For example, severe flooding that damaged buildings storing hazardous water-reactive chemicals could result in critical contamination problems that would dramatically escalate the type and magnitude of events. Dam failures may occur as a result of an earthquake creating a dangerous flash flooding scenario for communities on the other side of the dam. In areas of steeper, unstable slopes, identifying the secondary effects of coastal storms and/or tsunamis may include flood and debris damage resulting in rockslides or landslides. Additionally, coastal erosion results from serious damage impacted on the coastline in the event of a tsunami, hurricane and/or kona storm. For the purposes of the Maui County Hazard Mitigation Strategy, the following hazards will be addressed: ?? Hydrologic ?? Coastal erosion ?? Wind ?? Seismic ?? Tsunamis ?? Drought ?? Wildfire IV-2 By collecting information for each potential hazard that may affect Maui County, several determinations have been made: (1) which hazards merit special attention; (2) what actions might be taken to reduce the impact of those hazards; and (3) What resources are likely to be needed? Historical data of past damages was also reviewed. This data provided information on past damage costs, areas impacted, repetitive loss areas and those areas hardest hit. HYDROLOGIC HAZARDS: INLAND AND COASTAL FLOODING Floods Hydrologic hazards include inland and coastal floods, storm surge, coastal erosion and droughts. It is important to understand the interrelationship of hydrologic hazards with other hazard groups. For example: extreme rainfall from a kona storm can cause flooding, and sometimes flash flooding, and winds from a hurricane exacerbate storm surge, high surf and coastal erosion. Flooding is the accumulation of water within a water body and the overflow of excess water onto adjacent floodplain lands. (FEMA, Multi Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment, 1997) The floodplain is the land adjoining the channel or river, stream, ocean or other watercourse or water body that is susceptible to flooding. Flooding is the result of large-scale weather systems generating prolonged rainfall or on-shore winds. Other causes of flooding include locally intense thunderstorms and dam failures. Floods are capable of undermining buildings and bridges, eroding shorelines and stream banks, tearing out trees, washing out access routes, and causing loss of life and injuries. Flash floods, characterized by rapid onset and high velocity waters, carry large amounts of debris. Seasonal Pattern The northwesterly trade winds directly influence the climate of the islands. Generally, leeward locations are much drier and sunnier than the windward slopes. Conversely, the windward side gets heavier rainfall than the leeward side. Rainfall varies considerably, however, from one part of the island to the other. On Haleakala, the 2.000 to 4,000 foot elevations receive 200 to 300 inches of rainfall each year. (FEMA IV-3 Flood Insurance Study or FEMA FIS, August 3, 1998). On the western side of Maui, the average rainfall near the summit of Puu Kukui is 350 inches. In sharp contrast, leeward locations in south Maui receive an average of 10 inches. (FEMA FIS, 1998). The climatic pattern is much the same on Moloka’i and Lana’i. It also has two seasons of winter and summer but with a slight variation in the months. The wetter season extends from December through March while the dry summer season is June through August. The average rainfall for Moloka’i is somewhat less than Maui. The eastern slopes of Kamakou receive an average of 150 plus inches a year, tapering off to 10-12 inches per year in places in the western part of Moloka’i. This disparity in annual rainfall on the two islands arises from the fact that the Hawaiian Islands extend over a latitudinal belt that is a zone of desiccation throughout the world except where marine air masses are forced to rise over mountain barriers. Orographic rainfall results in the cooling of the uplifted air masses, creating extremely high rainfall under the ideal conditions of mountain elevation and trend, and wind direction and velocity. Damage Water related damage caused by inland and coastal flooding in the United States account for over 75 percent of federal disaster declarations (FEMA Multi Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment, 1997). Floods occur in all 50 states and US Territories. FEMA estimates that over 9 million households and $390 billion in property are at risk from flooding. In Hawaii, floods caused by rainstorms, tsunamis, and hurricanes claimed more than 350 lives and caused more than $475 million in damages before 1983. From January 1983 – July 1992, twelve lives were lost due to various floods in Hawaii. Flood damage can result from the effects of short and long-term increases in water levels through precipitation, wave action, high-velocity flows, erosion and debris. Coastal flooding can originate from a number of sources. Coastal storms such as hurricanes and kona storms, and ocean disturbances such as seismic activity and sub-ocean landslides which can cause tsunamis, generate the most significant coastal flood damage. Coastal storms and hurricanes create coastal flooding along the open ocean coastline. Whether situated on a coastal headland, barrier beach, or bluff sitting high atop the coast, the ocean-land interface is a place of great danger and sudden transformation during storms. (The Hidden Costs of Coastal Hazards, 2000) Under the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), FEMA is required to develop flood risk data for use in both insurance rating and floodplain management. FEMA develops these data through Flood Insurance Studies (FIS). In FISs, both detailed and approximate analyses are employed. Generally detailed analyses are used to generate flood risk IV-4 data only for developed or developing areas of communities. For undeveloped areas where little or no development is expected to occur, FEMA uses approximate analyses to generate flood risk data. Using the results of the FIS, FEMA prepares a Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) that depicts the Special Flood Hazard Areas (SFHAs) within the studied community. SFHAs are areas subject to inundation by a flood having a one percent chance or greater occurring in any given year. This flood, which is referred to as the 100-year flood (or base flood), is the national standard on which the floodplain management and insurance requirements of the NFIP are based. The FIRM shows Base Flood Elevations (BFEs) and flood insurance risk zones. The FIRM also shows areas designated as a regulatory floodway. The regulatory floodway is the channel of a stream plus any adjacent floodplain areas that must be kept free of encroachment so that the 100-year flood discharge can be conveyed without increasing the BFE more than the specified amount. Within the Special Flood Hazard Area (SFHAs) identified by approximate analyses, the FIRM shows only the flood insurance zone designation. The FEMA FIRM designations are defined below. FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map Definitions VE Zones Zone VE is the flood insurance rate zone that corresponds to the 100-year coastal floodplains that have additional hazards associated with storm waves. Whole-foot base flood elevations derived from the detailed hydraulic analyses are shown at selected intervals within this zone. Zone A Zone A is the flood insurance rate zone that corresponds to the 100-year floodplains that are determined in the FIS by approximate methods. Because detailed hydraulic analyses are not performed for such areas, no base flood elevations or depths are shown within this zone. Zone AE Zone AE is the flood insurance rate zone that corresponds to the 100-year floodplains that are determined in the FIS by detailed methods. In most instances, whole foot base flood elevations derived from the detailed hydraulic analyses are shown at selected intervals within this zone. Zone AH Zone AO is the flood insurance rate zones that correspond to the areas of 100-year shallow flooding (usually areas of ponding) where depths average are between 1 and 3 feet. Whole-foot base flood elevations derived from the detailed hydraulic analyses are shown at selected intervals within this zone. Zone AO Zone AO is the flood insurance rate zone that corresponds to the areas of 100-year shallow flooding (usually sheet flow on sloping terrain) where average depths are between 1 and 3 feet. Average whole-depths derived from the detailed hydraulic analyses are shown within this zone 500-Year Flood Zone (or Zone X) Zone X is the flood insurance rate zone that corresponds to areas outside the 500-year floodplain, areas within the 500-year floodplain, and to areas of 100-year flooding where average depths are less than 1 foot, areas of flooding where the contributing drainage area is less than 1 square mile, and areas protected from the 100-year flood by levees. No base flood elevations or depths are shown within this zone. IV-5 Types of Flooding Events, Frequency, Magnitude and Location Coastal Storms Major flooding events in Hawaii are caused by storms, storm surge, high surf and tsunamis (tsunamis will be covered in Seismic Hazards section). The climate of Hawaii is characterized by a two-season year; cool and warm. Floods occur during both seasons. Major floods typically occur during the rainy winter (October through April) and account for 84 percent of the floods in the islands. (State of Hawaii Flood Hazard Mitigation Plan, December 1996) Four types of storms produce heavy precipitation in Hawaii: Kona storms. These wintertime storms, from November to April, are in the wettest period of the year and locally called the Hoo’ilo season. The trade winds from the northwest slacken during this time, allowing storms from the south to more easily approach the islands. Hence the name kona which means leeward direction indicates the direction from which these storms come. The kona winds are generally warmer carrying moisture, which is dropped as rain over the entire island, more or less evenly. The lower elevations and southern, drier side of the islands get most of their rainfall at this time. It is about 25-30 inches each season. Because of the potential combination of high winds and heavy rains, these events could cause coastal erosion, and inland and coastal flooding over larger geographic areas of Maui and Moloka’i, thereby creating a greater impact on the islands. Frontal Storms. Frontal storms usually occur during the period from December through March. They originate over the Pacific Ocean as a result of the intersection between polar and tropical Pacific air masses and move eastward over the Islands. Rainfall from these storms is enhanced by mountainous areas (such as Haleakala and the West Maui mountains on Maui and Kamakou on Moloka’i) and can be accompanied by widespread precipitation. The effects of frontal storms are often greater within the mountainous regions of Maui and Moloka’i. Heavy rainfall, continuous over a period of several hours, quickly creates disaster conditions in high sloping areas such as these, prone to landslides and flash flood conditions in lowlands with poor drainage. Upper level lows. Upper level lows and troughs can occur any time of the year. In many instances, upper level lows have little or no effect on the lower levels of the atmosphere. However, these lows are sometimes able to tap into the marine layer and induce heavy showers that sometimes produce flash flooding. Tropical Cyclones. Hurricanes or tropical storms hitting or passing by the Hawaiian Islands cause heavy rains, storm surge, high winds and surf. Impacts from these events have included coastal erosion, severe inland and coastal flooding. Extensive wind damage can occur from the stronger tropical cyclones (hurricanes and tropical storms). IV-6 History of flooding on Maui Island-wide stream flooding because of heavy rains DATE DESCRIPTION November 19. 1900 Flash flood December 23, 1906 Flash flood January 14, 1916 Flash flood April 18, 1918 Flash flood August 10, 1930 Flash flood November 18, 1930 Flash flood January 2, 1946 Flood December 20, 1946 Flash flood April 2, 1948 Flash flood November 30, 1950 Flash flood February 22, 1951 Flash flood May 12-13, 1960 Flood October 24, 1961 Flash flood March 13, 1963 Flooding January 23, 1965 Flash flood March 13-16,1968 Flooding November 28, 1968 Minor flooding January 28, 1971 Flooding April 19, 1974 Flash flood January 6-14, 1980 Flooding August 3-4, 1981 Flooding October 27-28, 1981 Flooding March 30-31, 1982 Flooding April 1-3, 1982 Flooding July 16-17, 1982 Flooding December 23-24, 1982 3-5" of rain May 23, 1984 Minor flash floods December 24-25, 1984 Flash flood October 17-18, 1985 Flash flood November 18, 1985 Minor flash floods February 15, 1986 Flash flood November 10-11, 1986 Minor flash floods April 21-22, 1987 Minor flash floods April 26, 1987 Flash flood May 5-6, 1987 10" of rain, flash flooding January 28-29, 1988 Flash flood November 4-5, 1988 Extensive flooding IV-7 December 5-6, 1988 Flash flood February 10-11, 1989 Minor flash floods March 1-4, 1989 Minor flash floods January 14-22, 1990 Up to 20" of rain, flooding January 27, 1991 Flooding March 19-21, 1991 Flooding July 21-23, 1993 Flooding, remnants of H. Dora West Maui stream flooding because of heavy rains DATE DESCRIPTION January 26, 1916 Lahaina & Olowalu flooded November 30, 1950 Flash flooding at Lahaina May 12-13, 1960 Kahoma Stream October 31, 1961 West Maui, Kahoma Stream March 17-18,1967 7" in 5.5 hrs at West Maui January 28, 1971 Lahaina, Kauaula Stream (Hale, Cannery, Kelawe Camp) February 24, 1972 5-8" in 5 hrs at West Maui, Lahaina November 24, 1974 Ka'anapali, Honokawai May 5-6, 1987 10" of rain, flash flooding in Lahaina December 5-6, 1988 Over 10" of rain January 19-20, 1997 Flooding Lahaina Northwest Maui stream flooding because of heavy rains DATE DESCRIPTION November 2, 1961 Flash flooding at Napili, Honolua December 19, 1964 Flooding March 17, 1967 Napili Bay March 24, 1967 Heavy rains at Napili Bay March 13-16, 1968 24" in 48 hrs at Napili Beach, Honolua Pa'akea North central Maui stream flooding because of heavy rains DATE DESCRIPTION November 14. 1900 Kahului February 13, 1903 Flash flood at Wailuku January 14, 1916 17,000 cfs at Iao Valley December 24, 1920 Storm, flooding at Wailuku November 18, 1930 Flash flood Iao Stream January 2, 1946 Flooding of Iao Stream November 30, 1950 Flash flooding at Iao Valley, Wailuku December 3, 1950 7550cfs, 5" rain in 2 hrs at Iao Stream November 2, 1961 5700 cfs at Iao Stream February 4, 1965 Sheet flow IV-8 January 27-28, 1971 5820 cfs at Iao Stream, 2 ft at Pai'a February 8, 1972 3.5" in 1 hr at Wailuku November 12, 1978 Flash flooding at Iao Valley, Kahului March 30-31, 1982 Flooding at Iao Valley May 5-6, 1987 10" of rain, flash flooding at Wailuku, Kahului February 3-5, 1989 Flash flooding near Haiku April 12-13, 1994 Flash flood, mud slides Windward Haleakal'a stream flooding because of heavy rains DATE DESCRIPTION April 25-28, 1965 Flash flood at Hana April 15-16, 1968 East Maui esp. Honomaele Stream October 27-28, 1981 Flooding - road to Hana March 30-31, 1982 Flooding - road to Hana July 21-22,1982 Flash flooding August 1, 1982 Flash flooding, esp. Ka'anapali May 23, 1984 Minor flash floods – road to Hana February 15, 1987 10" rain March 24, 1988 Flooding - road to Hana March 19-21, 1991 Flooding - road to Hana November 26-27, 1992 Severe flooding October 23, 1993 Flash flood, mudslide April 12-13, 1994 Flash flood, mudslide Southwest Maui stream flooding because of heavy rains DATE DESCRIPTION January 26, 1916 Flood – Kihei January 29, 1930 Flash flooding at Kulat, Kihei February 22, 1951 Flood – Kihei December 21, 1955 Flood – Kihei March 24, 1967 6" in 6 hrs at Kihei January 28, 1968 Flood – Kihei January 27-28, 1981 Flooding - 6ft at Kihei December 5-6, 1988 Over 10" of rain at Kihei Inland Flooding Stream Flooding Stream flooding is a very common occurrence on both Maui as can be expected from the deep V-shaped valleys of west Maui, carved as the result of one million years worth of stream flow. Along the eastern half of Maui, the mountains and valleys are much younger and as a result, the valleys and streams are not as well developed. IV-9 Most of the streams cut steeply down to the narrow coast of Hana, often in cascading waterfalls, a hallmark of this region. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) National Weather Service (NWS), the greatest amount of rainfall occurs in West Maui (300 inches) at the summit, and nearly as high in east Maui (280 inches). (Fletcher 2000). Rainfall decreases dramatically toward southern Maui and west of West Maui and is the lowest (<15 inches) in the area of Lahaina and Kihei. Damage The north and central areas of Maui and the Hana Coast have the greatest stream flooding histories. Kahului, Maui’s most urbanized area and location of the Island’s major airport, commercial port and most of the retail and wholesale facilities, is a frequent victim of serious inland flooding events. (Pers. Comm. Roger Kawasaki, NOAA National Weather Service) Stream flooding is a particularly significant hazard in the areas where there are streams in close proximity to residential development such as in the south Maui area: Kalama Park, Kamole Beaches and Lipoa Avenue. The three principal streams in the area that flow westward and seaward only during periods of excessive rainfall are Kulanikakoi, Waipuilani, and Keokea Streams. They are narrow and poorly defined waterways. Localized depressions, ponds, swales and ditches are typical of areas along Kihei Road. Only seven gulches have well defined watercourses, and even these do not maintain stabilized channels completely across the lowland area to the ocean. Stream flooding in the Kaupo region, which has half the rain fall as Hana, is a high risk. Here there are many stream mouths that flood during intense rain events. On the back coastal road from Kipahulu to Kaupo, there are many areas where the road suddenly dips down and becomes flooded from low water crossings. During the storm of 1968 this area experienced extensive damage as six miles of unpaved road was closed to traffic for several days, a result of four timber bridges and three culverts being destroyed). Areas particularly susceptible to flooding are Nuu, Huakini and Waiu Bay, Pakowai and Waiopai. Stream flooding on Moloka’i Because of the lack of rainfall over most areas of the island, the only perennial streams which reach the sea are those of the large valleys on the windward side of East Moloka’i. The permanence of the streams on the northern slope are the result of numerous high level springs which issue from the dike complex where exposed by erosion. Other streams are fed from the seepage of swamps. Due to the geological conditions such as the steepness of the terrain and the intermittent character of the heavy rainfall, the streams in most of the area have high flows and velocities during IV-10 heavy rainfall. The streams on the southern slope of the East Moloka’i and most areas of West Moloka’i are perennial in the upper courses but these streams normally lose their water to seepage and evaporation long before reaching the coast. The expectation is after heavy rainfalls or Kona storms when flows in these streams reach the ocean. Damage The major flood problems are associated with the heavy flow of four water courses in East Moloka’i, the Wailua Stream, Wawaia Gulch, Kamalo Gulch, and Kawela Gulch. The primary causes of flood damages are overflow of the water courses, inadequate highway bridge openings and periodical accumulation of deposits on the stream beds which result in the reduction of flow capacity. Minor flooding problems are caused by overland sheet flow. Along the eastern limits of Wailua Valley, flooding due to water flowing rapidly down the steep hillside onto level areas causes ponding to occur. Sheet flow occurs at east Kawela and west Wawaia valleys when water rushes over cleared portions of the flood plain after intense rainfall. Due to the lack of drainage ditches and channels, the water runs as “sheet” flow towards the ocean. Flash Floods Flash floods are characterized by a rapid rise in water level, high velocity, and large amounts of debris. Flash floods are capable of tearing out trees, undermining buildings and bridges, and scouring new channels. Flash floods are more prevalent in areas where there is a predominance of clay soils that do not have high enough infiltration capacities to absorb water fast enough from heavy precipitation events. Flash floods may also result from dam failure, causing the sudden release of a large volume of water in a short period of time. In urban areas, flash flooding is an increasingly serious problem due to the removal of vegetation, and replacement of ground cover with impermeable surfaces such as roads, driveways and parking lots. In these areas, and drainage systems, flash flooding is particularly serious because the runoff is dramatically increased. The greatest risk involved in flash floods is that there is little to no warning to people who may be located in the path high velocity waters, debris and/or mudflow. The major factors in predicting potential damage are the intensity and duration of rainfall and the steepness of watershed and stream gradients. Additionally, the amount of watershed vegetation, the natural and artificial flood storage areas, and the configuration of the streambed and floodplain are also important. IV-11 Precipitation, which sometimes equals the average annual rainfall, has occurred throughout the historical record. Flooding in areas around Kihei and Lahaina on Maui is partially due to the fact that the topography is characterized by an abrupt transition in slope at the coastline. Many historic floods in these two areas occurred after heavy precipitation in higher elevations, which fed to narrow stream channels and drainage channels near an arid coast to the point of overflow. (Fletcher May 2000, p.2). Flash flooding is a common occurrence in the Lahaina area. This is caused by a couple of things; the steep slope of the foothills on the westside of the West Maui Mountains, and the lack of vegetation because sugar cane is no longer planted in this area. Damage According to the May 2002 version of the Atlas of the Natural Hazards in the Hawaiian Coastal Zones, a number of flash flood events resulting in significant damage have occurred since 1900. Since 1879, 19 damaging floods have occurred in Lahaina. (Fletcher 2000) Wailuku, Maui’s county seat, also experiences serious sheet flow and flash flooding events. Historically, flash flooding has been a serious problem in the Kahului and Wailuku areas, due to large amounts of water discharge from the steep hillsides of the Iao Valley cumulatively collecting when encountering a coastal lowland area. Flash flooding also poses serious threats in this low-lying coastal terraced near Waihee Point and Waihee Beach Park. The Waihee stream area is popular with visitors for hiking. However, the high potential, and past flash flooding events poses serious concerns in this area, as visitors are unaware of these risks. An additional concern is debris flow. High velocity flows from the streams within the Iao Valley area, bring rocks and boulders to the beaches near Waihee. (See May 2002 Atlas of the Natural Hazards in the Hawaiian Coastal Zones for complete historical listing of these events) Sheet flow Sheet flow is more prevalent in those areas characterized by steep grades and sudden high precipitation events. In west Maui, sheet flow flooding tends to be a problem. This area of Maui encompasses two major watersheds – Lahaina Watershed and Honoloa Watershed. The Honoloa Watershed spans the area north of the Ka’anapali Resort to Honoloa Bay, approximately 24,800 acres in size. The highest point of the watershed is the Puu Kukui peak in the West Maui Mountains Provided by Dr Charles Fletcher UH IV-12 (Mauna Kahalawai). Deep valleys and narrow winding channels draining to the ocean incise the watershed. Grades begin at about 16% and flatten to 6% towards the ocean. Defined channels exist in the major valleys, varying from 5 to 10 feet deep and 10 to 20 feet wide. The Lahaina watershed is approximately 4,920 acres encompassing Lahaina Town and Pomona subdivision. (Maui Community Plan Infrastructure Assessment 1992) The remaining upper area of the watershed is mountainous with deeply incised canyons and is part of the West Maui Forest Reserve. On Moloka’i, sheet flooding occurs along the eastern limits of Wailua Valley. This is caused by water flowing rapidly down the steep hillside onto level areas causing the water to collect in ponds. Sheet flow also occurs at east Kawela and west Wawaia valleys when water rushes over cleared portions of the flood plain after intense rainfall. Damage Heavy precipitation from past storm events on Maui (such as April 15-16, 1968), creates serious storm water runoff problems from the high velocities of water flowing down the pasturelands. In downtown Hana, this high velocity sheet flow has caused road damage. (Kevin Kodama, NOAA National Weather Service) During the Storm of 1968, drainage ditches in Hana town including its bedding, and sections of the earth banks were washed downstream into the ocean. (Corps of Engineers, 1968) Additionally, road shoulders, retaining walls and pavement were also severely damaged. Holoinawawae Stream was also damaged. (Corps, 1968) Storm water runoff Drainage refers to the system or area where rainfall and storm water runoff travels to waterways or bodies of water. Drainage presents itself as a problem in the form of flooding due to the development or alteration of natural areas and drainage patterns. Geology and rainfall are the major influences on drainage systems. Runoff is a function of infiltration capacity (soil type), relief, vegetal cover, and type and extent of development (amount of impermeable surface). Sediment erosion is a naturally occurring process that is accelerated by human activities (West Maui Watershed Owners Manual, November 1997) There are watersheds on Maui that are high producers of sediment as a result of Maui’s erodible soil, steep slopes and periodic rainfall, particularly at high elevations. Heavy IV-13 Abandoned sugarcane fields, Lahaina precipitation events cause soil and sediment erosion and storm water runoff conditions that significantly alters river channels carrying large amounts of sediment downstream, plugging drainage systems and causing flooding and damage to homes and roads. Soil erosion also becomes a serious problem for public infrastructure when high velocity streams cause scouring to occur at the base of bridge supports. Flooding and high wave conditions erode coastal lands supporting roads. Rapidly developing downstream communities are often overwhelmed by the large amounts and high peaks of storm water and sediment flowing from upstream areas down normally dry or minimally flowing streams and irrigation channels (Lahainaluna area). Environmental degradation can occur when debris flows and storm water runoff occurs. Once flooding occurs, sediment particles are quickly transported downstream to the ocean where the suspended sediments and debris creates turbid conditions that are harmful to coral reefs when particles abrade and smother coral reefs. This is particularly true on Moloka’i. Because of the limited development in the coastal zone on Moloka’i, the hazards caused by storm water runoff affects the natural environment more so than coastal development. Some of the most expansive reefs in the state occur along the southern coast of Moloka’i. On rainy days plums of red-brown sediment can be seen lining the entire south shore. Where the shoreline progrades seaward, the reef flat becomes buried in mud. Storm water runoff and debris flows carry trash, motor oils, landscape chemicals, pet ands livestock feces and other pollutants to streams and into the ocean. In terms of urban land use, construction sites and roadsides expose large areas of bare soils that are highly susceptible to runoff and erosion. Construction sites can contribute significantly to storm water runoff and sediment erosion because Maui’s soils are so fine and the close proximity of new development to the shoreline. Construction and development within the watershed contributes sediments and pollutants to storm water runoff during the grading and construction phase. After construction is completed, the paved or impermeable surfaces create increased volume and peak rates of storm water runoff flow. Because, major sediment retention basins are mauka of urban areas, urban runoff is transported directly to the ocean through streams, gulches and some storm drains. Studies conducted by researchers in conjunction with the West Maui Watershed project showed that pineapple and sugar cane fields generate higher loads of runoff (West Maui Watershed Owners Manual, December 1997). Pineapple fields generate the most runoff immediately before planting and for the first 8 – 12 months after planting, before the plant canopy cover is complete. (Marty Stevenson, 1997) Sugarcane fields were found to be highly vulnerable to erosion and runoff for a period IV-14 of roughly 4 – 6 months after being planted (Stevenson, 1997) Cane roads are also susceptible to erosion. On Moloka’i, much of the red-brown mud or silt comes from excessive soil erosion in watersheds that have been denuded by deforestation and feral ungulates. Damage Historically, the Iao Stream has caused the major flood problem in the Wailuku- Kahului area. Due to the steep ground gradient, flooding from high velocity and large flow quantities has caused considerable property damage and loss of life. Another flood problem in the Wailuku area has been the overtopping of the irrigation ditches. During periods of heavy rainfall, the irrigation ditches are incapable of carrying the irrigation water and storm water runoff that is intercepted by the ditches. Flooding in Wells Park area and along Main Street has occurred during periods of heavy rainfall. Secondary areas of flooding occur in the low-lying sections of Kahului. The flooding primarily consists of the inundation of the streets and low-lying residential areas. The lack of adequate storm drainage facilities and the inability of local dry wells to accommodate the overtopping gulches and ditches cause such flooding. Records for flooding on Moloka’i are not as good as on Maui but the observational data shows flooding does occur in both the arid and wetter regions of Moloka’i. There are only a few places where flooding has much of an impact on the developed areas of the coastal zone. The primary causes of flood damages are overflow of the watercourse, inadequate highway openings and periodical accumulation of deposits on the streambeds, which result in the reduction of flow capacity. At least two coral species that are rare throughout the Hawaiian Archipelago can be found in the shallow water at Palaau on Moloka’i. A third rare coral species is found at Pukoo. Impact of land-derived sedimentation on the coral reefs of south Moloka’i has been and continues to be a major environmental concern. Unchecked, this can be a causative factor in the destruction and death of the coral. Ponding Storm water runoff and debris flows also negatively impact public infrastructure such as roads and bridges as water collects. This is typically the result of inadequate drainage systems in the immediate area, creating ponding conditions oftentimes making roads impassible. Standing surface water develops after intense Suda Store, Kihei, October, 1999 IV-15 rainfall events where poor soil permeability and urbanization prevent adequate water drainage. This may interrupt road transportation and damage low elevation buildings. Road closures can be a critical issue in Maui when these events have the potential to isolate communities. Damage The direct cause of flooding in Kihei is the inadequate capacity of existing channels. Between Kihei Road and Pi’ilani Highway, there are four gulches (Waiakoa, Kulanihakoi, Waipuilani and Keokea) that flow in an east-west direction and drain approximately 65% of the watershed. Storm runoff flows at high velocities above the coastal plain because of the steep ground gradient at upper elevations. Gradual slopes in this area approximate 4-5 percent with elevations ranging from 5 to 90 feet. These slopes establish little or no well-defined surface drainage pattern. The drainage ways do not maintain stabilized channels and are generally narrow and poorly defined because of intermittent rainfall and minimal runoff throughout most of the year. As the floodwaters approach the coastline, ponding occurs because of inadequate outlets to the sea, which is frequently plugged with ocean-deposited sand. The high volumes and velocities of the flood waters of these streams, on their approach to the Kihei flood plain, cause overtopping of existing drainage structures crossing Kihei Road. (Maui Community Plan Update Infrastructures Assessment, 1992) This flat low-lying coastal area is the recipient of all of this surface runoff and contributes to the flood problems in the Kihei area. In Kihei, the transportation and even evacuation problems are particularly severe due to the North/South Kihei Road that runs parallel, and perilously close, to the coastline. This road has been flooded on many occasions by low magnitude coastal flood inducing events such as south swells, Kona storms and heavy rains. Rain Gages/Flood Forecasting Systems Hydronet The Hydronet system is a statewide network of NWS maintained and operated tipping bucket rain gages whose primary purpose is to support the flash flood forecast and warning operations of the Honolulu Forecast Office. Network communications are handled via commercial telephone lines or cellular phones that contact data loggers attached to each rain gage. Each data logger records rainfall to a resolution of 0.01 inches every 15 minutes and contains enough memory to hold several days of data. The Hydronet computers are programmed to automatically interrogate each gage every three hours during benign weather conditions. This frequency can be increased to automatically interrogate every hour when heavy rain is anticipated or is already occurring. Each gage is also programmed to call the Hydronet computers when rainfall intensities reach or exceed one of four pre-selected thresholds. These IV-16 threshold values are currently set for 0.25, 0.50, 0.75, and 1.00 inches per 15 minute period, or 1.00, 2.00, 3.00, and 4.00 inches per hour, respectively. After receipt of a heavy rain data message from the gage, the Hydronet workstation notifies the forecasters of the event via printed message, on-screen computer terminal message, and audible and visual signals in the office. Alarm messages are also sent to participating county warning points for intensities of 2.00 inches per hour or greater. All Hydronet gages are visited routinely for maintenance and calibration purposes. The Hydronet alarm system at the Maui County Warning Point is tested quarterly to ensure receipt of messages. Areal Mean Basin Estimated Rainfall (AMBER) AMBER is a product derived from WSR-88D weather radar data that is used for flash flood forecasting and detection purposes. The AMBER system utilizes the maximum spatial and temporal resolution radar data available to produce specific basin averaged rainfall estimates. Output includes hourly basin accumulation rates as well as basin accumulation totals over user-specified periods. Basins have been delineated using 30-meter digital elevation model data processed through a software extension from a Geographic Information System (GIS). For the State of Hawai’i, AMBER output is currently available from the WSR-88D radar on Moloka’i with basins delineated over the island of O’ahu and the islands in Maui County. Flash Flood Guidance (FFG) values are also tied to AMBER data to assist forecasters in the warning and advisory decision making process. FFG values indicate the amount of basin averaged rainfall needed to produce small stream flooding over different time periods. Coastal Flooding Storm Surge One of the most dangerous aspects of a hurricane is a general rise in sea level called storm surge. It begins over the deep ocean; low pressure and strong winds around the hurricane’s center (“eye”) raise the ocean surface a foot or two higher than the surrounding ocean surface forming a dome of water as much as 50 miles across. (National Science Foundation, 1980) As the storm moves into shallow coastal waters, decreasing water depth transforms the dome of water into a storm surge that can rise 20 feet or more above normal sea level and cause massive flooding and destruction along the shoreline in its path. This problem is even more critical in the event when there is additional impact caused by high, battering waves that occur on top of the surge. Storm surge floods and erodes coastal areas, salinizes land and groundwater, contaminates the water supply, causes agricultural losses, results in loss of life, and damages structures and public infrastructure. Maui has 149 miles of coastal IV-17 shoreline. Moloka’i has 106 miles. (Maui County Data Book, 2002). Flooding from storm surge in the immediate coastal areas occurs primarily as a result of tropical storms, hurricanes and seasonal high waves. During these events, high winds and surf can push water several feet and even hundreds of yards inland Conditions can be exacerbated by large waves that form on top of rising water. The degree of damage caused by storm surge depends on the tidal cycle occurring at the time of the event. During high tides, water levels can be significantly higher than low tide recede further inland and cause more extensive damage. The area of impact of storm surge flooding is confined to regions along the immediate coastline and typically extends to a few hundred feet inland. Those areas most susceptible to storm surge are coastlines that are uniformly flat or only a few feet above mean sea level, the storm surge will spread water rapidly inland. Typically, storm surge diminishes one to two feet for every mile it moves inland. For example, a 20 foot surge in a relatively flat coastal area, where the land may only be 4 to 6 feet above mean sea level, would be felt 7 to 10 miles or more inland. Damage On Maui, the areas of Waiehu and Waihee, located in coastal embayment, the risk of coastal flooding is particularly higher due to the exposure to annual wave heights measuring as much as 20 feet during the winter, in addition to hurricanes approaching from an easterly direction. (Fletcher, May 2000). Ponding from heavy precipitation and poor storm water designs in Kahului and Wailuku is a common problem. (Pers. Comm., Cerizo, Kawasaki) Landslide, debris flow and storm water runoff may also impact the Wailuku Heights area. Built within the high slopes and valley regions of the backside of Iao Valley, this densely developed residential area is at risk to flooding sheeting down from the steep slopes. The Kihei watershed is on the western slope of Mount Haleakala on a curved band that extends approximately 8 miles south from Mokulele Junction to Wailea and approximately 15 miles east fro the shore to the summit of Haleakala. The coastal area is relatively flat and characterized by sandy beaches of varying widths. Thirty-two gulches, ravines, and gullies drain the mountain slopes above the Kihei coastal IV-18 lowland. Where there are small beaches that coincide with stream mouths near Wailea, and in the south at Poolenalena the threat from stream flooding is high. The coast of Kihei and Maalaea is heavily developed. Therefore, because of the close proximity of coastal development to the ocean, coastal flooding from storm surge is a potential threat in the areas of Maalaea, Kihei, and Makena. Kealia Pond and surrounding coastal lowlands can also be inundated by storm waves and stream flooding. Between Laniupoko Point and Ukumehame Park, the coast is relatively undeveloped except for the small recreational area at Olowalu Point. A low-lying coastal terrace that parallels the long and narrow sandy beach characterizes this area. Numerous larger stream channels cut through this region draining the wetter West Maui Mountains. While the streambeds are generally dry year round, they are known to quickly flood during extreme rainfall events in the immediate area and in the West Maui Mountains, just inland of the coastal zone. (Pers. Comm. Roger Kawasaki, NOAA National Weather Service) The only road connecting West Maui to the rest of the Island frequently bears the brunt of flooding events as the road gets closed from flooding as well as mud and landslides resulting from heavy rains in this mountainous area. Olowalu, including Ukumehame Park and Valley area is particularly susceptible to coastal flooding from more frequent events caused by south swells. In the events where there have been significant amounts of precipitation, up to Launiupoko Point and Ukumehame Park area is vulnerable to rock slides from rock outcrops hugging the only coastal road from South Maui to West Maui. In areas characterized by low coastal slopes at the bays and stream mouths, the risks from coastal and stream flooding is greatest in the Keanae and Nahiku Coast areas (e.g. Nuaailua Bay, Kauwalu Bay, Wailuanui Bay, and Wailuaiki Bay, southeast of Papiha Point, Waiohue Bay, Honolulunui Bay, Kipakaone Bay, and Opuhano Bay). The stream flooding threat is also ranked high at Hana Bay and between Hokuula and Mokae Cove and Waiaama Bay and Kauakio Bay where the coastal slope is low and wide stream mouths coincide with coastal embayment and empty into the sea. High Surf The most predictable and frequent coastal hazard in Hawaii is sudden high waves combined with strong near shore currents. (Fletcher 2000) The greatest number of deaths, injuries and rescues are from the high surf breaking at the shoreline. High surf, resulting from dangerous and damaging waves, is defined by the Oahu Civil Defense as waves ranging in height from 10 feet to 20 feet or more. (Fletcher 2000) These waves Provided by Dr. Charles Fletcher, UH SOEST IV-19 result from storms passing across the higher latitudes of the Northern and Southern Hemispheres in addition to storms passing across the Pacific in close proximity to the Islands. These high wave events threaten lives and coastal property. When combined with high tides and storm surges, high waves can inundate farther inland disturbing property and infrastructure. Waves from the north and northwest tend to be the highest on an annual basis and generally occur several days at a time, most frequently between the months of October and March. (Fletcher 2000) These swells range between 5 and 10 feet in the vicinity of Ka’anapali and 10 to 20 feet near Honolua Bay in northwest Maui and along the North Shore between Waihee and Paia. Occasionally waves of 25 feet and greater occur over the deep offshore reefs of the North Shore making them popular for big wave surfing. Fortunately for Maui, much of its coastline has wide fringing reefs that dissipate wave energy offshore of its northern and western shores, where wave heights are the highest. However, areas important for tourism and commerce such as Lahaina, Ka’anapali, Honokowai, Olowalu, Kihei, and Kahului are sited on low coastal plains, and therefore experience wave over wash, which causes rapid erosion and temporarily disrupts transportation along Honoapi’ilani Highway. (Fletcher 2000) Wave heights along Maui’s southern coast range between 4 to 10 feet. (Fletcher) Trade wind waves impact the eastern shores 70% of the time. (Fletcher 2000) During winter storm months, kona storm waves can reach 5 feet along the southern shore while in the summer months, tropical storms and hurricanes can generate wave heights of 10 to 20 feet along any portion of the Maui coast (Fletcher 2000). High waves from winter North Pacific swell; trade wind swell, summer South Pacific swell, tropical storms and hurricanes, and Kona storms all affect the shoreline of Moloka’i. Steep sea cliffs east of Kalaupapa Peninsula dominate the north shore. High waves from north swell, ranging 15-20 feet, are a greater threat to the more accessible and frequented areas along the north facing shores between Moomoomi and Halawa. High waves from the trade wind swell range 3-5 feet along the Eastern Shore. Winter Kona storms create winds and waves from the south and southwest. These waves can reach heights of 3-6 feet along the south-facing shores. Damage Data on high waves and surf in Maui dates as far back as 1896. Much of the high waves and surf in Maui is attributable to passing hurricanes and tropical storms. Each year, however, storms passing through the northern Pacific generate wave heights reaching 15 to 20 feet in the north shore and sometimes up to 30 to 40 feet. Of the largest wave events occurred February 2-4, 1993 and January 23-31, 1998 when waves reached heights of 30 and 40 feet respectively. (Fletcher 2000) Wave heights ranging between 10 and 15 feet reached the north and east shores of Maui as Hurricanes Susan, Ignacio, and Estelle traveled through the Hawaiian waters. IV-20 (Fletcher 2000) Along the west shore, wave heights of 6 to 10 feet were recorded as a result of the passing of Hurricane Emilia to the west in July of 1994. The most significant amount of losses to Maui occurred during a kona storm, occurring, January 8-10, 1980. Maui sustained damages over $12.9 million dollars. Twelve years earlier in April 15 – 16, 1968, the Hana District was declared a disaster area by the State of Hawaii, a result of 17 inches of heavy rains. Of this total, nearly 16 inches fell within 15 hours, and 1.8 inches fell within 15 minutes. This intensity categorized this event as a 100-year storm. (Army Corps of Engineers, Storm of 15 – 16 April 1968, Island of Maui, December 1968) The highest waves that have impacted Moloka’i’s shoreline were generated by tropical storms and hurricanes that passed by the Islands. Since the 1970’s, several hurricanes have visited Hawaii; Kate in 1976, Fico in 1978, Pauline in 1985, Iniki in 1992, and Fernanda in 1993. One hurricane of note, Raymond in 1983, passed over Moloka’i as a tropical depression. Most recently, Hurricane Fernanda generated high waves ranging 8-10 feet that damaged one house on East Moloka’i. While no damage was sustained by Hurricane Iniki, high surf was observed on the east, south and west facing shores. Hurricane Pauline generated waves of 10-15 feet along eastern shorelines. Hurricane Fico caused waves of 8-12 feet and Hurricane Kate produced waves of 8-15 feet. Tropical depression Raymond dropped two inches of rain on the island and generated 10-15 foot surf. Dam Breaks A dam is defined as a barrier constructed across a watercourse for the purpose of storage, control, or diversion of water. (DAM SAFETY MANUAL) A dam impounds water in the upstream area, or reservoir. The amount of water impounded is measured in acre-feet referring to the volume of water that covers an acre of land to a depth of one foot. (FEMA, Multi-Hazards 1997) Two factors influence the potential severity of a full or partial dam failure: the amount of water impounded, and the density, type, and value of development and infrastructure located downstream. There are three types of dams: detention; storage and diversion. Detention dams are constructed to retard and minimize the effects of flood runoff. These types of dams are used to store all or a portion of an anticipated flood runoff. The floodwater stored by the dam is released at a rate that does not exceed the carrying capacity of the channel downstream. Storage dams are constructed to impound water during periods of surplus supply for use during periods of drought. This water is critical for crop irrigation, livestock watering, municipal and industrial water supply and electricity generation. Diversion dams are constructed to provide hydraulic head for diverting water from streams and rivers into ditches, canals, or other water conveyance. IV-21 Maui County has fifty dams. Of these, twenty-one have been rated to be “high” hazard potential, two is “significant” hazard potential, and four are rated as having a “low” hazard potential. Of the 50 dams, twenty-three have not been rated. All of Maui’s dams are made of earth. Disastrous floods caused by dam failures, may cause great loss of life and property damage, primarily due to their unexpected nature and release of a high velocity wall of debris-laden water rushing downstream destroying everything in its path. Dam Hazard Potential Classification Category Loss of Life Property Damage Low None expected Minimal (undeveloped to occasional structures or agriculture) Significant Few (no urban structures) Appreciable (notable developments and or inhabitable no more than a small number of inhabitable structures, agriculture, industry High More than a five Excessive (extensive community, industry, or agriculture) The 1997 FEMA Multi-hazards Identification and Risk Assessment Publication reports that dam failures can result from anyone or a combination of factors: ?? Prolonged periods of rainfall and flooding; ?? Inadequate spillway capacity; ?? Internal erosion resulting in structural failure ?? Improper maintenance ?? Improper design; ?? Negligent operation; ?? Failure of upstream dams on the same waterway; ?? Landslides into reservoirs which may cause surges resulting in overtopping; ?? High winds which can cause significant wave action resulting in substantial erosion; and ?? Earthquakes, which cause longitudinal cracks and weaken the entire structure. Land Slides/Debris Flows A landslide happens when gravity forces land downward, often due to precipitation, runoff, or ground saturation. Debris flows, sometimes referred to as mudslides, mudflows, lahars, or debris avalanches, are common types of fast-moving landslides and occur in a wide variety of environments. These flows IV-22 generally occur during periods of intense rainfall, but can also be triggered by seismic activity or prolonged dry periods. The consistency of debris flow ranges from watery mud to thick, rocky mud that can carry large items such as boulders, trees, and cars. Debris can also include larger rocks and even boulders causing extensive damage. Debris flows from many different sources can combine in channels where their destructive power may be greatly increased. They continue flowing down hills and through channels, growing in volume with the addition of water, sand, mud, boulders, trees, and other materials in its path. When the flows reach flatter ground, the debris spreads over a broad area, sometimes accumulating in thick deposits that can wreak havoc in developed areas. Once started, however, debris flows can travel even over gently sloping ground. The most hazardous areas are canyon bottoms, stream channels, areas near the outlets of canyons, and slopes excavated for buildings and roads. Several features on land may be noticeable prior to a landslide. These features include: • Springs, seeps, or saturated ground appears in areas usually not wet • New cracks or unusual bulges in the ground, street pavements, or sidewalks • Soil moves away from foundations • Ancillary structures (e.g. decks, lanai) tilt or move relative to the house • Concrete floors or foundations tilt or crack • Water lines and other underground utilities break • Telephone poles, trees, retaining walls, or fences tilt • Road beds sink, or drop down They are particularly dangerous to life and property because of their high speeds and the sheer destructive force of their flow that is capable of destroying objects in their paths, and often strike without warning. Landslides usually start on steep hillsides as shallow landslides that liquefy and accelerate to speeds that are typically about 10 mph, but can exceed 35 miles per hour. These flows are capable of destroying homes, washing out roads and bridges, sweeping away vehicles, knocking down trees, and obstructing streams and roadways with thick deposits of mud and rocks. IV-23 Coastal Erosion “Today’s coastline is of economical, social, cultural, and environmental value to communities and to nations. However, shorelines are dynamic and ephemeral places where erosion trends tend to dominate. Development along the shore places the desires of man (to have a safe and stable home) in direct opposition to the natural trends of nature (to erode, transport, and deposit coastal lands).” Joan Pope, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers The Natural Course of a Beach Life Cycle Coastal zones are dynamic areas that are constantly undergoing change in response to a multitude of factors including sea level rise, wave and current patterns, hurricanes, and human influences. Despite the fact that Hawaii appears to have a well-developed and comprehensive governmental system in place to respond to coastal erosion and beach loss, beach loss still occurs in great proportions in Maui. High winds and associated marine flooding from storm events such as Kona Storms and hurricanes, flooding, tsunami flooding, sea level rise, seasonal high surf, stream flooding on coastal plains, landslides, and seismic and volcanic hazard all increase the risk exposure along developed coastal lands. Storm impacts and long-term erosion threatens developed areas with potential loss of life and billions of dollars in property damage. In addition to the natural processes that cause erosion, human alterations are affecting erosion rates. Human interference with sand transport processes underlies much of the chronic erosion impacting portions of the Maui shoreline. Erosion has been wearing away beaches and bluffs along the U.S. coastal and Great Lakes shores from the powers of flooding, storm surge, rising sea levels, and high surf. As shorelines retreat inland, waterfront homes, public infrastructure such as roads, bridges, wastewater treatment facilities, and storm water drainage systems eventually may become severely damaged beyond use, uninhabitable, or surrender to the powers of the sea. The Heinz Center Report on “Evaluation of Erosion Hazards” predicts that over the next 60 years erosion may claim one out of four houses within 500 feet of the U.S. shoreline. Most of the damage will occur in low-lying areas also subject to the highest risk of flooding. Some additional damage will also occur along eroding coastal bluffs. Maalaea IV-24 The beaches of Hawaii are vital economic, environmental, and cultural resources. A healthy, wide sandy beach provides protection against the effects of storm surge, tsunami flooding, and high surf impacts. The beach environment provides habitat for marine and terrestrial organisms with beach dependent life stages and is home to species of indigenous and endemic Hawaiian plants. Beaches are also the basis for the visitor industry, exceeding by a factor of three all other industries combined when providing direct income to the State. (DLNR, Coastal Erosion Management Plan, 2000) Beaches change their shape, depth, and slope in response to wind, wave, and current forces, and the availability of sand. The sources and sinks of sand within a particular beach system and the mechanisms by which they affect the beach morphology are often cumulatively referred to as the sediment budget of the beach. Seaward sources of sand to the sediment budget of a beach include long shore currents moving sand along the coast and cross shore currents moving sand onshore. Landward sources of beach sand include dunes, ancient shorelines, and other onshore sand deposits that release sand to the beach by the forces of the wind and waves. High waves will cause a beach to change its shape, or profile by redistributing sand across the shoreline. Maui’s beaches serve as natural protective buffers between the ocean and the land. Waves reaching Maui from storms across the Pacific carry tremendous amounts of energy, and beaches absorb much of this energy before it reaches the shoreline and coastal properties. During storm events, a beach is able to modify its slope and overall morphology to dissipate the waves while not destroying itself. The beach profile is flattened, and the waves coming inshore shoal further out offshore, thus minimizing further erosion. Beaches recover when sand is moved back onto the shore by smaller waves, and then is blown inland to reestablish the frontal dunes. The final stage of recovery of the beach and dunes occurs when vegetation grows back over these new dunes. Hence, the narrowing of healthy beaches in response to a high wave event is often a temporary condition. (Beach Management Plan for Maui 1997, Rob Mullane and Daren Suzuki) Coastal Erosion vs. Beach Erosion It is important to understand the difference between coastal erosion and beach loss. Coastal lands may experience long-term erosion under some conditions. For instance, if sea level is rising, the beach must eventually migrate landward or drown. This causes coastal land behind the beach to erode. The beach then, remains wide and healthy as it moves with the eroding coastline. If sand is not available to a beach on a chronically eroding shoreline, then beach erosion will ensue, leading to narrowing and eventually beach loss. Beach narrowing and loss occurs where sand supplies are diminished or discontinued. Beaches on eroding coasts still undergo seasonal profile adjustments, but they slowly shift their position landward as the land erodes. IV-25 Chronic Erosion Chronic erosion may also be caused by repeated episodes of high surf constantly drawing sand stores from the upland area of the beach to feed the beach profile. Along most Hawaiian shorelines, sands stored in dunes and fossil shorelines are moved onto the beach by this process. Beaches benefit from this source of sand, in order to remain wide and healthy, even as the land behind them may erode. Chronic erosion, then, causes land loss, not beach loss. Armoring, or hardening of the shoreline with seawalls and revetments to stop chronic coastal land loss, often refocuses wave forces onto the beach in front of the seawall. Beach erosion ensues, leading to a volumetric loss of sand that result in beach narrowing and eventually beach loss. (Beach Management Plan for Maui, 1997; COEMAP 2000) Episodic Erosion Episodic erosion is also a concern for many of Maui’s beaches, especially those lacking a fringing reef and exposed to seasonally high waves. On these beaches a single unusually large wave event or high wave season can cause severe coastal erosion. The vegetation line may retreat as much as 60 or more feet, but if the erosive event is followed by a long period of normal wave conditions, the shoreline can recover, often accreting back to its pre-event location. Beaches subject to rapid erosion and accretion cycles are referred to as dynamic (Makai Ocean Engineering and Sea Engineering, 1991). There may be little or no long-term trend of shoreline erosion, but the risk of episodic erosion remains. Effects of Local Wind and Surf Patterns Highly variable local patterns of wind and wave dynamics can be important keys to dispelling misunderstandings of beach processes. Waves are the key factor in the process of coastal retreat because they are able to reach high onto the beach and into the dunes during certain seasons of the year when they are at their maximum height. This reach allows sand to be transported back to the beach face to “make deposits into the beach sand budget.” In general, on the north shore of Maui, waves are highest in the winter because they are generated by distant storms in the northern Pacific. On the south side, waves are highest in the summer because they are generated by storms in the Southern Hemisphere. On the windward shores, waves are generated by strong trade winds and by large north swell that wraps around the coastline. Natural features such as coral reefs, offshore channels, and offshore depth variability, as well as the orientation of the coast relative to the prevailing winds and approach of distant waves, drive waves in different ways. For example, the beaches in South Maui are influenced by trade wind-driven flow so that sand typically moves to the south. But when intense “Kona” storms from the south and west occur there, sands are driven to the north in large quantities. (COEMAP 2000) IV-26 Sediment Deficiencies There are situations that call for human interference with patterns of sand flow and accumulation. These include clearing storm drainage channel mouths, dredging harbors and boat basins, widening harbors or extending breakwaters, crossing the shoreline with outfall pipes, or cutting new channels. These and other activities that are common on the Hawaiian shoreline have the potential to cause sediment deficiencies along adjacent beaches. It is important to conduct a careful assessment of dynamics and patterns along the shoreline in question in order to minimize impacts to coastal resources. Moderate erosion trends can be exacerbated and accreting coastlines caused to erode by poorly conceived civil works projects on the coast that trap sand or alter its movement. Sand Mining In the past, Maui’s beaches have been subjected to sand mining for lime processing. The calcareous sand (CaCO3) is baked to release carbon dioxide and produce simple lime (CaO) for use as a building material. Baldwin Beach, Sugar Cove, and other beaches were past sand mining sites on Maui. Sand mining is in large part responsible for the retreat of both the vegetation line and the beach foreshore over recent decades along these beaches. Sand mining will result in obvious negative impacts to beaches by decreasing sand volumes, steepening the morphology of the shoreline, and reducing the ability of profiles to respond to seasonal wave stresses. Although presently outlawed in Hawaii, there are occasional requests to mine remote beaches that are perceived as being of low socioeconomic value and high sand volume. Coastal Armoring Sediment impoundment accompanies coastal armoring. Sands that would normally be released into coastal waters during high wave events and with seasonal profile fluctuations are trapped behind walls and revetments and prevented from adding to the beach sediment budget. One wall may have minimal impact, but along many Hawaiian coastlines myriad armoring types combine to reduce sand availability to nearly zero. Natural coastal erosion does not damage beaches that have access to a robust sediment budget. Beaches on chronically eroding coasts that are not armored remain healthy even during shoreline retreat because sands are released from eroding coastal lands that nourish the adjoining beach. Armoring traps those sands and a sediment deficiency develops, such that the beach does not withstand seasonal wave stresses and begins to narrow with time. IV-27 Chronic beach erosion and beach loss eventually results. Many beaches eventually disappear simply because they are starved of sand. Dune Grading One of the most important storage sites for sand is the frontal dune system that lines many shores and armoring traps these sands. Additionally, the leveling and grading with topsoil that accompanies housing construction on beachfront lots is one of the most destructive practices taking place along the Hawaiian coast. Dune ecologies in Maui have been decimated by common landscaping practices that do not seek enhancement of the endemic environment, do not recognize the value of salt tolerant vegetation as a tool for beach and dune preservation, and do not establish dune conservation as a goal of the landscaping effort. Soil filling to support short-grass lawns is a source of siltation to coastal waters during erosion events, and acts to compact and trap dune sands such that the adjacent beach experiences deflation, or a lowering of elevation due to sand removal by waves without replacement by dune sand. Deflated beaches fronting filled dunes provide poor erosion buffering capabilities and are themselves a degraded environment with little to offer the normal coastal ecosystem and its host of organisms with beach-dependent life stages (turtles, various marine larvae, and certain reef fishes). Canalization Many streams that flow intermittently from our mountains to the coast are subject to flash flooding during heavy rainfall events. To prevent coastal zone flooding, the most hazardous of these streams have been canalized into concrete canals or gutters so that flooding is contained. Where these open onto the coastal zone, the channel mouths tend to trap sand that is moving along the shoreline. The buildup of sand within the channel mouths increases the upstream flood hazard and creates a sand deficiency on the adjacent beach. Public works departments often clear these accumulations and dispose of the sand in various ways, including trucking it off-site to IV-28 be used elsewhere (i.e. golf courses). Unless these sands are returned to the immediate beach area, the long-term dredging and clearing is nothing less than a sand-mining effort and it will have a similar impact on the adjacent beach. This has the potential to reduce available sand volumes and create chronic erosion where none previously existed. In placing cleared sands onto adjacent beaches it is important to be aware of prevailing sediment transport patterns so that returned sand can function in a manner that will provide nourishment. To ensure this, it will be necessary to conduct a review of the ambient littoral processes and develop schedules of transport direction around each channel mouth, with guidelines on the placement of returned sand. Past and Recurring Damage John Rooney at University of Hawaii SOEST has provided the following descriptions with input also from Rob Mullane and Matt Niles of Hawaii Sea Grant. South Maui – Kihei Along the Kihei coastline there is a general trend of erosion, but with widely varying rates and patterns of shoreline movement through time. There have also been major decreases in the width of the beach along the Kalama Park/Halama Street area where the beach has mostly disappeared in front of coastal armoring. Problems related to coastal and beach erosion has arisen along this coastline as a result of people building too close to the shoreline to accommodate natural shoreline fluctuations. The dynamic nature of shorelines is often much greater than people realize. The shoreline at the south end of Kalama Park receded a maximum of about 100 yards between 1912 and 1949, and accreted a maximum of about 115 yards between 1900 and 1949 a quarter mile south of the Whale Sanctuary Building. Beaches prone to episodic erosion include Keawakapu Beach, Mokapu Beach, Palauea, and Poolenalena; all of which suffered severe erosion during the Kona storms of 1980 and 1982. Although most of the Kihei shoreline appears to have been much less dynamic over the past century, development and infrastructure has often been sited far too close to the ocean. For example, some of the resort hotels in the Sugar Beach area were constructed in the dynamic zone of the beach, seaward of the 1949 vegetation line. In addition to the obvious risk of property damage, Maui County may incur liability for issuing construction permits in areas that can be reasonably expected to be subject to erosion damage over the expected lifetime of the structures. North Maui – Kanaha Kanaha Beach, on Maui’s north shore, is part of about a 5 mile stretch of coastline between Kahului Harbor and Paia that has been experiencing severe erosion since at least 1950. Mining of beach sand for processing sugarcane in years past has undoubtedly contributed to the problem. It has been suggested that construction of Kahului Harbor in 1910 may be contributing to the problem as well. A wastewater IV-29 facility serving the Kahului-Wailuku area was constructed here in the mid-1970s, despite an obvious erosion hazard, and is today protected by a rock revetment. This and the revetment built to protect the lime limn at Baldwin Beach have resulted in loss of the beach in front of these structures. Wide beaches despite severe coastal erosion, however, front adjacent, undeveloped shoreline segments. Numerous groins in the area appear to have slowed movement of sand along the shoreline in some areas, but often have led to increased erosion rates along down drift areas. A study of coastal sediment transport and the impact of Kahului Harbor may possibly suggest ways to mitigate coastal erosion here. However, the area is subject to high wind and wave energy despite the wide fringing reef offshore. The presence of what appear to be a series of beach rock ridges up to 800 feet offshore suggest that severe erosion has been occurring here for far longer than have western impacts to the coast. West Maui Along much of the West Maui coastline from Papalaua to a couple miles south of Lahaina, Honoapiilani Highway runs right along the ocean. Although this offers nice view planes, in several areas the highway is situated dangerously close to the ocean and interferes with active beach processes. The beaches and offshore reefs along here are valuable resources heavily used by both residents and visitors. These resources are being damaged in some cases, and threatened in others, by proximity of the highway. Revetments and seawalls armor several short segments of the highway, but nonetheless, many of these segments are still subject to coastal flooding, wave splash, and wave overtopping. Wave run-up during both moderate and large wave events floods portions of this highway, leading to occasional temporary road closures. These closures create unsafe driving conditions when traffic unexpectedly comes to a halt. Wind Hazards Wind is one of the most costly insured property perils, causing more damage than earthquakes, freezing, or other natural perils. (IIPLR, 1994) In most wind storms, but especially in hurricanes, windborne debris can be a major factor in causing damage. Flying objects such as tree limbs, outdoor furniture, signs, roofs, gravel, and loose building components from progressively failing adjacent buildings can impact the building envelope, creating openings that allow internal pressure to build within. Wind Pressure Internal pressures develop within a building when the building envelope is breached. The breakage of window glass or the failure of an overhead door commonly causes the breach in the envelope. The internal pressures add to the external pressures producing more severe pressures on the building components of the structure. (IIPLR, 1994) The roof then feels tremendous internal pressure building from inside, together with the negative wind pressures lifting the roof from outside. The resulting combined IV-30 forces may be too large, even for good roofs if the roof has not been designed for them. After the roof is gone, high winds and rain destroy the inside of the structure. Wind is defined as the horizontal component of natural air moving close to the surface of the earth. (David Ludlum1982) Wind pressure, not wind speed, causes wind damage. (IIPLR1, 1994) There are three types of wind pressure: positive, negative, and internal. • Positive wind pressure is what one feels when the wind is blowing in one’s face. It is the direct pressure from the force of the wind that pushes inward against walls, doors and windows. • Negative wind pressure occurs on the sides and roof of buildings. It is the same pressure that causes an airplane wing to rise. This negative pressure is also known as lift. Negative pressure causes buildings to lose all or a portion of their roofs and side walls, and pulls storm shutters off the leeward side of a building. • Interior pressure increases dramatically when a building loses a door or window on its windward side. The roof fells tremendous internal pressures pushing up from inside of the building together with the negative wind pressure lifting the roof from the outside. Wind Speed It is often difficult to obtain accurate and consistent wind speed measurement during most storms. Wind speed measuring devices, anemometers, often become damaged from wind and airborne debris when severer wind storms occur. It is important to understand the effect of winds on buildings. Wind speeds vary with height above ground, the higher the elevation, and the stronger the wind (IIPLR, 1994) • The Fastest Mile Wind is the wind speed used in the American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) national wind speed standard. This measurement is taken at an elevation of 33 feet in open terrain and is the highest recorded speed during a time interval in which one mile of wind passes a fixed measuring point. At 60 miles per hour this is a 1-minute average wind. • Sustained Wind is the wind speed averaged over 1 minute. • Peak Gusts are averaged over two to five seconds. Wind Patterns Trade winds are by far the most common winds over Hawaiian waters and play a major role in defining the climatology of the region. (Kodama 1998). These persistent winds, which blow from a NE to ENE direction, became known as trade winds long 1 IIPLR the Insurance Institute for Property Loss Reduction knows the Institute for Business and Home Safety. IV-31 ago when clipper ships carrying cargo depended on the broad belt of Easterly winds encircling the globe in the subtropics for fast passage. (Kodama 1998) Though pleasantly brisk and refreshingly cool on land, strong, gusty trade winds can cause problems for mariners. These strong trades blowing from the NE through East funnel through the major channels between the islands--Kauai, Kaiwi, Pailolo, Kalohi, and Alenuihaha Channels--at speeds 5-20 knots faster than the speeds over the open ocean. North Pacific High-pressure systems are responsible for the majority of the gusty trade wind episodes over Hawaiian waters, which commonly persist for several days before tapering off. Mariners and beachgoers must exercise good judgment prior to entering the waters exposed to strong trades, especially in the major channels. High winds from trade winds, which blow 70% of the time, Kona winds 30% of the time, and winds from hurricanes and tropical storms passing through Hawaiian waters all affect the Island of Maui County. (Fletcher 2000) Trade winds predominate from the northeast and generally range from 10-25 miles per hour, although occasional extreme events reach 40-50 miles per hour when the sub-tropical high-pressure cell north of the islands intensifies. (Fletcher 2000) Trade winds appear to be stronger when passing through the isthmus between West Maui and Haleakala, so that wind speeds at Maalaea and north Kihei may be higher than along the North Shore. This is the result of wind funneling which often occurs when wind passes between two mountains or into a valley. The most damaging winds are those associated with passing tropical storms and hurricanes. East-facing coastlines in Hawaii generally receive the brunt of tropical storm winds as the storms approach the islands. The south and west facing shorelines often feel strong winds and waves derived from these storms as they pass to the west. Occasionally when such storms track to the east of the Islands, the north shores are impacted. In all cases, acceleration of wind down slope often occurs such that the highest winds may in fact be recorded on the leeward side of the wind approach. Since 1871, at least forty-seven strong wind events have impacted the entire island of Maui. Of these, thirty-four were associated with extreme trade winds and/or Kona storm winds, while thirteen occurred during passing tropical storms and hurricanes. The strongest trade wind events hammered the north and east shores with winds of 40-60 mph. High southerly Kona storms have hit Maui with speeds of 40-50 mph on several occasions. Maui has only been brushed by a tropical depression and never hit by a hurricane. It has, however, sustained some damage from the impact of winds from both. Hurricane Nina, for example, brought gusts greater than 90 mph to parts of Maui in November 1957. The most damaging high winds to affect either Moloka’i or Lana’i were those associated with tropical storm Sarah in 1971 and Die Deutsche Seewarte III in 1874. These both destroyed a number of houses. IV-32 History of strong winds and hurricanes on Maui DATE DESCRIPTION August 9, 1871 Kohala Cyclone, gale winds December 7, 1896 Strong winds January 21, 1906 High winds October 2-9, 1906 Makawao Cyclone January 14, 1916 High winds August 18-19, 1938 Mokupu Cyclone January 17, 1948 High winds January 23-26, 1948 High winds December 21, 1955 High winds November 30-31, 1957 Hurricane Nina, gusts to 92 mph. August 6-9, 1958 Tropical Storm January 17-18, 1959 Storm August 4-7, 1959 Hurricane Dot, strong winds January 15-17, 1963 Strong winds January 30-31, 1963 Strong winds, gusts to 84 mph. September 12-19, 1963 Tropical Storm Irah, strong winds December 19-23, 1964 Strong winds August 8-10, 1967 Tropical Storm November 2-11, 1967 High trade winds December 9, 1967 High winds December 12, 1967 Strong winds December 5-6, 1968 Storm February 20-21, 1969 Strong winds December 25-29, 1970 High winds, 50-60 mph. January 5, 1971 Strong winds November 23-27, 1975 Storm February 5-7, 1976 Storm January 11-19, 1979 High winds, 50+ mph. January 8-10, 1980 High winds July 21-22, 1982 Tropical Storm Daniel August 1, 1982 Tropical Storm Gilma December 19-19, 1982 Strong gusty trade winds October 15-20,1983 Hurricane/Tropical Depression Raymond December 24-26, 1983 Strong winds, 50 mph gusts. December 24-25, 1984 Kona Storm March 1-11, 1985 Gale force trade winds July 22-23, 1986 Hurricane Estelle November 4-5, 1988 Storm gusts 40-50 mph. December 5-6, 1988 Storm, southerly winds to 50 mph. December 17-18, 1988 Gusty winds December 30-31, 1988 40-50 mph winds. IV-33 March 1-4, 1989 Storm, strong winds December 9-11, 1989 Gusty winds January 27, 1991 Strong winds December 4-6, 1993 Strong trade winds 60-80 mph. December 23-25, 1996 Southwest winds 40 mph. January 27-28, 1997 South-southwest winds Hurricanes One of the most dramatic, damaging and potentially deadly events that occur in the Hawaii is a hurricane. A hurricane is defined as a large circulating windstorm covering hundreds of miles that forms over warm ocean water. To be officially classified as a hurricane, the wind speeds must exceed 74 miles per hour. The maximum winds in a hurricane occur near a calm eye and diminish with distance from the eye. During a hurricane, high winds, marine over wash, storm surge and small scale wind bursts may damage or destroy homes, businesses, public buildings and infrastructure. Termed “microbursts” and mini-swirls, these localized winds may reach wind speeds in excess of 200 miles per hour. (Fletcher 2000) During Hurricane Iniki, damage patterns and debris indicated that there were more than 26 mircobursts (sudden intense downdrafts) and two miniswirls (a violent whirlwind, not tornado) had occurred on Kauai (Fletcher 2000). In the northern Hemisphere, the winds circulate in a counter clockwise direction (clockwise in a southern hemisphere). A great dome of water as much as 50 miles across called the storm surge is pushed ahead of the storm by its winds. (Keillor and Miller, 1987). This can result in tides 20 feet or more higher than usual. Storm surge is responsible for many hurricane-related deaths and for coastal erosion. In addition to severe winds, hurricanes have several other characteristics. Barometric pressure is very low, for example, usually 29 inches of mercury or less. Hurricane winds are directly related to the lowest barometric pressure reading at the center of the storm. (IIPLR, 1994) Hurricane winds are strongest near the Radius of Maximum Winds, the area within the storm path near the lowest central pressure. (IIPLR, 1994) The larger the radius, the larger the area of maximum destruction. The strongest winds are usually on the right side of the eye, as one faces the direction the storm is moving. (IIPLR, 1994) Wind speeds decrease as the distance away from the radius of maximum winds increase. During a hurricane, high winds, storm surge and rains may damage or destroy homes, businesses, public buildings and infrastructure. Flying debris can break windows and doors, unsealing the building "envelope" and creating extensive damage inside the structure. After the roof is gone, high winds and rain destroy the inside. Roads and bridges can be washed away by flash flooding or blocked by debris. In extreme storms, such as Hurricane Iniki, the force of the wind alone caused tremendous IV-34 devastation, as trees and power lines toppled and weak elements of homes and buildings failed. These losses are not limited to the coastline; they can extend hundreds of miles inland under certain conditions (FEMA,1997). Hurricane Intensity The Saffir-Simpson scale measures hurricane intensity. Number and range from 1 (low) to 5 (high) categorize storms. A hurricane’s approximate damage potential increases as the square of the integer value for the Saffir-Simpson category. (IIPLR, 1994) The wind speed of a hurricane decreases as it moves inland for two reasons. First, the major source of storm energy (warm water) is no longer available to fuel the storm. Second, the land, vegetation, and structures offer frictional resistance to the storm winds. A hurricanes’ peak wind speed distribution is a direct function of its rotational wind speed and forward speed. Storms that have a higher traveling speed do not stay in one place for long, minimizing the possibility of damaging buildings and other stationary structures. However, faster moving storms tend to be more destructive further inland. Because they travel further inland causing higher storm surge and stronger winds. (IIPLR, 1994). Saffir Simpson Hurricane Intensity Scale Category Wind Speed Damage Potential 1 75 – 95 mph Minimal damage to vegetation. No real damage to other structures. Some damage to poorly constructed signs. Low-lying coastal roads inundated, minor pier damage, some small craft in exposed anchorage torn from moorings. 2 96 – 110 mph Considerable damage to vegetation; some trees blown down. Major damage to exposed mobile homes. Moderate damage to houses. Considerable damage to piers; marinas flooded. Small craft in unprotected anchorages torn from moorings. Evacuation from some shoreline residences and low-lying areas required. 3 111 – 130 mph Large trees blown down. Mobile homes destroyed. Extensive damage to small buildings. Poorly constructed signs blown down. Serious coastal flooding; larger structures near coast damaged by battering waves and floating debris 4 131 – 155 mph All signs blown down. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Extreme structural damage. IV-35 Major damage to lower floors of structures due to flooding and battering by waves and floating debris. Major erosion of beaches. 5 >155 mph Catastrophic building failures. Devastating damage to roofs of buildings. Small buildings overturned or blown away. Storm Tracks in Hawaiian Islands The most typical storm track near Hawaii is toward the west/northwest. This is consistent with the large-scale winds that steer the storms. Hawaii lies at a longitude near to that of the center of the subtropical high which drives the trades. As storms pass Hawaii they will naturally curve to the northwest unless the high extends usually far to the west. In the trades, winds turn to the south with height contributing to a southeasterly steering wind. In the upper troposphere, the winds over the islands are southwesterly and contribute to north turns as well (Schroeder, 1993) The Myth of Maui A common myth in Hawaii is that the islands of Hawaii, those in Maui County, and Oahu are less vulnerable to a direct hit by a hurricane than Kauai. This myth has developed as a result of the fact that, until 1950, tropical storms hitting Hawaii were not classified as hurricanes and it was not until the advent of weather satellites that the nature of storms in this part of the world were understood to be hurricanes. We know that since 1950 five hurricanes or tropical storms have caused se